MLB Home Run Props & Picks: Friday (5/22)
With a full slate of games on the agenda tonight, I’ve added three MLB home run props to consider. Let’s have another strong weekend in the home run market.
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Friday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Pete Alonso (+370)
Pete Alonso has slugged a .297 ISO and a wOBA of .352 against right-handed pitching over the last month. He also has a strikeout rate under 20% and has hit 31.4% of fly balls with 58.8% of hard contact during that stretch.
Tonight, Alonso battles Jack Flaherty of the Detroit Tigers, who has allowed a .300 ISO and a wOBA of .406 to his last 46 righties. Those righties have hit 27.6% of fly balls and 27.6% of line drives.
This righty-righty matchup is dangerous for Flaherty. Take Alonso to add a home run tonight.
Corbin Carroll (+370)
The Rockies are set to pitch Tomoyuki Sugano tonight. He’s allowed a .349 ISO and a wOBA of .436 to his last 49 lefties. This season, he’s given up a .306 ISO and a wOBA of .397 to 94 lefties.
It’s been a real struggle for Sugano against lefties throughout the season.
Corbin Carroll has smoked a .298 ISO and a wOBA of .337 against righties over the last month. He has hit 31.7% of fly balls and 63.4% of hard contact with a 17.1% barrel rate against righties over the last 30 days.
Those are some elite numbers. Give Carroll a try tonight.
Manny Machado (+490)
Over the last month, Manny Machado has added a .312 ISO and a wOBA of .476 against lefties. He’s struck out only 16.7% of the time and has hit 30.8% of fly balls with 69.2% of hard contact. He also sports a team-best 15.4% barrel rate against lefties over the last month.
Machada faces lefty Jeffrey Springs of the Athletics, who is allowing a .167 ISO and a wOBA of .366 to righties over the last month. Springs has given up 37.3% of fly balls to righties during that stretch and has induced only 20.3% of ground balls, with a 16.5% strikeout rate. Springs gives up a lot of fly balls. Machado can smash the ball over the fence.