MLB Home Run Props & Picks: Friday (5/29)
There’s a full slate of games on the MLB schedule tonight. Last weekend, we crushed the books with so many home runs cashes. Let’s do the same this weekend. I’ve added three MLB home run props below. Let’s go.
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Friday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Kazuma Okamoto (+410)
Kazuma Okamoto has smashed a .174 ISO and a wOBA of .308 against his last 26 lefties. He’s also hit 27.8% of fly balls, 55.6% of hard contact and an 11.1% barrel rate against lefties during that stretch.
Tonight, Okamoto takes on Trevor Rogers, who has struggled badly against right-handed hitters as a left-handed pitcher. Rogers has allowed a .314 ISO and a wOBA of .449 against his last 42 righties. Those righties have hit a 12.1% barrel rate with over 27% of fly balls. Rogers has struck out only 7.1% of his last 42 righties this season.
Okamoto already has double-digit home runs on the year. This is a good matchup to add another.
Dillon Dingler (+540)
The Chicago White Sox are set to pitch Erick Fedde tonight. The righty has allowed a .448 ISO and a wOBA of .486 to his last 64 righties. During that time, he’s given up 34% of fly balls and a 14% barrel rate. Meanwhile, Fedde has added just 6.2% of swinging strikes and 14.1% of strikeouts against righties.
Righty Dillon Dingler has a .203 ISO and a wOBA of .341 against righties over the last 30 days. He has limited his ground balls and has hit 27.7% of fly balls, with a 46.8% hard-hit rate.
The Tigers don’t have much offense against righties right now. However, Dingler is an exception. Let’s see if he can turn on one tonight.
Rafael Devers (+320)
Rafael Devers has smashed a .324 ISO and a wOBA of .415 against his last 80 righties. During that time, he’s struck out at a high clip, but he’s also hit 41.5% of fly balls with 67.9% of hard contact and a 15.1% barrel rate against righties.
Devers is going up against Michael Lorenzen of the Colorado Rockies, who has given up a .415 ISO and a wOBA of .533 to his last 62 lefties. Lorenzen has also given up a 23.1% barrel rate with 53.8% of hard contact. In addition, Lorenzen has allowed over 30% of fly balls and continues to fall behind lefties this season.
Devers has a really good matchup tonight.