MLB Home Run Props & Picks: Friday (5/8)
We’ve got a full slate filled with solid options in the home run department. That said, check out my top three MLB home run props for tonight. Let’s finish off the work week with a bang.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Friday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
JJ Bleday (+330)
Over his last 29 plate appearances against righties, JJ Bleday has smacked a .542 ISO and a wOBA of .559. He’s hit close to 40% of fly balls and 77.8% of hard contact, while adding a 22.2% barrel rate.
Meanwhile, Bleday will battle Astros righty Mike Burrows, who has been tormented by left-handed hitters lately. Burrows has allowed a .288 ISO and a wOBA of .409 against his last 57 lefties. Those lefties have hit 46.3% of hard contact and 26.8% of fly balls over the last 30 days. Burrows has also struck out just 19.3% of lefties during that stretch.
Let’s back Bleday to go deep.
Taylor Ward (+490)
The Athletics are set to pitch left-hander Jacob Lopez. He has been fine against lefties, but he’s struggling badly against righties. The last 74 righties have hit a .308 ISO and a wOBA of .419 against Lopez. In addition, Lopez has allowed 38.6% of fly balls from righties over the last month and has added just 6.2% of swinging strikes, with only 13.5% of strikeouts during that time.
Taylor Ward will likely lead off for the Orioles. He has a .208 ISO and a wOBA of .444 with only 5.9% of strikeouts against left-handed pitchers over the last 30 days. Ward is super patient at the plate and should get some solid hitting counts to drive one over the wall.
Give Ward a chance at +490 odds.
Junior Caminero (+390)
Junior Caminero has smacked a .292 ISO and a wOBA of .338 against left-handed pitching over the last 30 days. He has a strikeout rate below 14% and has hit 55% of hard contact with a 10% barrel rate against lefties.
Caminero is set to tee off against Connelly Early of the Red Sox, who is a left-handed pitcher struggling against righties. Early has allowed a .194 ISO and a wOBA of .354 with 37.7% of fly balls allowed against his last 78 righties.
Those righties have posted an 18.9% barrel rate and a 54.7% hard-hit rate over the last month. Plus, Early has struck out only 17.9% of righties over the last 30 days.
Let’s ride with the super-hot Caminero.