MLB Home Run Props & Picks: Monday (4/27)
We nailed back-to-back home runs over the weekend, thanks to Christian Walker (+360) coming through last night. Here are three more MLB home run props for today’s eight-game slate.
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Monday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Jose Ramirez (+330)
Jose Ramirez has smacked a .433 ISO and a wOBA of .487 against left-handed pitching this season. Ramirez is a switch-hitter, but he’ll bat right-handed against lefty Steven Matz tonight.
Matz has allowed a .292 ISO and a wOBA of .387 to 76 righties this season. Those rights have also hit 37% of fly balls, 30.4% of line drives, and a 17.4% barrel percentage against righties.
Ramirez has hit 44.4% of fly balls against lefties and 70.4% of hard contact with an 18.5% barrel percentage. He matches up extremely well against Matz, who has looked awful against righties this season.
Brandon Lowe (+440)
Brandon Lowe has become a top power hitter in the MLB since joining the Pittsburgh Pirates. He’s hit a .377 ISO and a wOBA of .474 against right-handed pitchers this season. In addition, he’s been super patient at the plate and has struck out only 17.6% of the time against righties.
Tonight, he’ll battle Dusin May of the Cardinals, who has given up a .234 ISO and a wOBA of .455 to lefties. He’s added just 4.8% of swinging strikes and has allowed 33.3% of line drives with 57.4% of hard contact to lefties.
This is a premium spot for Lowe.
Mike Trout (+360)
Mike Trout and the Los Angeles Angels will battle Anthony Kay, a lefty on the White Sox. Kay has allowed a .277 ISO and a wOBA of .420, while allowing 57.6% of hard contact. He’s rarely earning swinging strikes and has given up 14.3% of walks to right-handed hitters this season.
There’s a good chance Kay falls behind a bunch of righties tonight, including Mike Trout. Ultimately, Trout has slugged a .333 ISO and a wOBA of .406 against left-handers this season. He’s also added 50% of fly balls and 56.2% of hard contact, with a team-best 25% barrel percentage against lefties.
Trout is having one of the best starts to a season in recent memory. Let’s take advantage.