MLB Home Run Props & Picks: Monday (6/15)
We’ve nailed three consecutive home run props from Friday-Sunday after Alec Burleson drove one out of the park last night. Can we make it four straight with tonight’s slate? Check out my top MLB home run props for tonight’s action.
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Monday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
James Wood (+350)
The Kansas City Royals will roll with Mitch Spence for tonight’s game. The righty has only faced 21 batters all season. That said, he’s allowed lefties to hit a .833 ISO and a wOBA of .643 during that time.
Spence has walked 45.5% of lefties and has given up a 25% barrel rate with only 18.2% of strikeouts. It’s a small sample size, but enough to feel comfortable riding with James Wood.
Wood is a lefty who has hit a .243 ISO and a wOBA of .451 against righties over the last month. Wood has also hit two home runs over the last five games and has launched 34.8% of fly balls over the last month against righties.
Let’s give Wood a shot tonight.
Noelvi Marte (+680)
Noelvi Marte has been red-hot for the Reds over the last week. He’s hit two home runs over the last five games and has smashed a .200 ISO with a wOBA of .358 against righties over the last month.
Marte will face righty Tobias Myers of the Mets, who has allowed a .333 ISO and a wOBA of .547 to his last 11 righties. Myers has allowed a .250 ISO and a wOBA of .410 to his first 59 righties this season.
Myers has also allowed 48.9% of hard contact and almost 30% of fly balls to righties this season. Marte can certainly stay hot against Myers tonight.
Michael Busch (+320)
It’ll be Michael Lorenzen on the mound for the Rockies tonight. The right-hander has watched his last 48 lefties hit a .233 ISO and a wOBA of .444. In addition, he’s allowed a 9.4% barrel rate, 31.2% of fly balls and nearly 44% of hard contact against lefties over the last month.
Michael Busch is one of many red-hot lefties in the Chicago Cubs’ lineup tonight. He’s hit a .235 ISO and a wOBA of .427 against his last 87 righties. Busch has also hit 36.7% of fly balls and a 16.3% barrel rate with 51% of hard contact.
Busch is in a good spot to hit a homer tonight.