MLB Home Run Props & Picks: Saturday (3/28)
For the first time this season, every MLB team takes the field. With so many games and options, I looked through every matchup to find the top MLB home run props for today's slate. Let's hit a home run play to add some joy for this weekend.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
George Springer (+320)
George Springer smashed a .225 ISO and wOBA of .353 against lefties last season. He also has a 31.5% fly-ball rate, just a 34.8% groundball rate and a a 13% barrel rate against lefties last year.
Today, Springer will face a lefty in Jeffrey Springs. The Athletics starter allowed a .202 ISO and a wOBA of .321 to 570 righties last season. He also gave up more than 30% of fly balls and 29.4% of line drives to righties. Beyond that, Springs earned just 19.5% of strikeouts against righties with a barrel rate of nearly 9%.
Springer should get plenty of opportunities batting in the lead-off spot.
Corey Seager (+345)
Corey Seager added a .216 ISO and wOBA of .396 against righties last year. He struck out just 17.4% of the time and hit 31% of fly balls with 59.9% of hard contact against righties. Beyond that, he smashed a team-best 16.2% barrel rate against righties.
Seager faces Aaron Nola of the Philadelphia Phillies. Nola is a notable name and pitched well in the World Baseball Classic. But he still allowed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .372 to 254 lefties last season. Those lefties hit 63.6% of hard contact with a 12.7% barrel percentage. Nola also struck out lefties just 21.7% of the time and allowed nearly 25% of line drives.
Seager has an exciting matchup against Nola on paper.
Salvador Perez (+420)
Reynaldo Lopez will take the bump for the Atlanta Braves tonight. The right-hander threw against just 11 righties last season before having surgery on his shoulder. Those 11 righties smashed a .364 ISO and wOBA of .468 against Lopez.
Salvador Perez hit a .247 ISO and wOBA of .341 with 33.2% of fly balls and 55.1% of hard contact against righties. In addition, he earned a team-best 15.8% barrel rate against righties and hit only 35.7% of ground balls against righties.
I usually like going with righty-lefty or lefty-righty matchups. This righty-righty matchup makes sense on paper. Let’s ride with Perez.