MLB Home Run Props & Picks: Sunday (8/9)
We weren’t able to break the minor cold streak last night. But we’ll try again with tonight’s 15-game slate in the MLB. Therefore, take a look at our MLB home run props for today’s action and tail along if you’d like!
Find the best price on every home run prop >>
Sunday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Luis Garcia (+320)
Over the last 30 days, Luis Garcia has hit a .304 ISO and a wOBA of .377 against his last 58 righties as a left-handed batter. Today, he’ll battle Grant Holmes, a righty, who has allowed a .227 ISO and a wOBA of .347 against his last 53 lefties.
Holmes has allowed nearly 29% of fly balls and has given up an 11.4% barrel percentage with almost 46% of hard contact. Additionally, he’s added just 20.8% of strikeouts and has fallen behind lefties a lot over the last month.
That should help Garcia, who has hit a team-best 24.4% barrel percentage against righties over the last 30 days. He’ll likely be hitting clean-up today, too.
Griffin Conine (+400)
Griffin Conine doesn’t have a home run in his last five games. That said, he’s still hit a .404 ISO and a wOBA of .411 against his last 62 righties. The left-handed slugger will likely bat 5th in tonight’s lineup and will face Grayson Rodriguez, who has allowed a .173 ISO and a wOBA of .343 to his last 60 lefties. Those lefties have also hit 53.2% of hard contact and nearly 28% of fly balls over the last 30 days.
Plus, Conine has added more fly balls than ground balls against righties over the last 30 days. Additionally, he’s socked a 23.7% barrel percentage, which is easily the best number on the Marlins against righties over the last 30 days.
I’ll gladly take Conine to hit a homer at +400 odds.
Nolan Arenado (+540)
We tried Nolan Arenado last night, but he didn’t come through. I’ll try him one more time today.
He’s hitting a .524 ISO and a wOBA of .482 against his last 24 lefties. He’s also hit an 80% hard contact rate with a 20% barrel percentage against lefties during that time.
He’s set to face Justin Wrobleski of the Dodgers, who has been absolutely awful over the last few starts. He’s allowed a .511 ISO and a wOBA of .453 to his last 49 righties, while also allowing a 21.9% barrel percentage with 40.6% of fly balls.
A veteran like Arenado should be able to take advantage.