MLB Home Run Props & Picks: Wednesday (6/10)
Bettors who targeted MLB home run props in Monday’s series opener between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Athletics in the first game played at the Las Vegas Ballpark likely cashed in big. The Brewers and Athletics combined for 11 home runs and 34 hits, and the 11 homers were the most between two teams in a game since May 4th, 2025.
Even though the odds have likely been adjusted greatly for the capability of the ball flying out of the yard, I am backing an Athletics player to go deep, as well as two other red-hot National League sluggers.
Here are my top MLB home run props for Wednesday’s loaded 15-game slate.
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Wednesday’s Best MLB Home Run Props
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Carson Benge (+880)
Naturally, Mets rookie Carson Benge took a little while to get used to MLB pitching. But his turnaround after a slow start is still eye-popping.
Over the first 30 games, Benge was slashing .179/.235/.263, with four extra-base hits, two home runs, and six RBI. But over the last 32 games entering yesterday’s series opener, he was slashing .328/.390/.516 with five homers and 20 RBI.
Over the weekend, Benge became just the fourth Mets rookie with a five-hit game in franchise history. He also hit his first career walk-off and first leadoff home run since the start of May, and his 0.7 bWAR is only destined to rise if he continues his torrid hitting.
Benge has a great chance to do just that when facing Andre Pallante, who has allowed at least one home run in eight of his last 10 starts. Pallante has also allowed a slugging rate 67 points higher to left-handed batters than righties.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (+234)
Entering yesterday’s series opener at Coors Field, Pete Crow-Armstrong was amid a 12-game hitting streak (the longest of his career). Over that span, Crow-Armstrong batted .392 with five home runs, eight total extra-base hits, nine RBI and a 1.201 OPS. That torrid streak saw his OPS jump from .676 to .783.
Crow-Armstrong’s improved power numbers seem to be a direct product of better plate discipline. In March and April, Crow-Armstrong had a 45.8% chase rate, 29.9% whiff rate and 46.8% hard-hit rate. In May and June, those numbers improved to a 33.1%, 26% and 53.6%.
Rockies righty Michael Lorenzen has pitched to an awful 9.67 ERA at Coors Field this season. He has also been torched by left-handed sluggers, allowing a .432/.486/.752 slash line in that split.
Brent Rooker (+259)
Brewers righty Brandon Sproat has reverse splits, allowing a worse batting average and slugging rate to right-handed batters compared to lefties. Seven of his 11 home runs allowed have also come in that split (in just 10 more at-bats), and his 6.00 road ERA suggests the ball will likely be flying out of the yard once again in Las Vegas.
Brent Rooker has homered at least once in three of the last four series, adding to his .876 OPS over the last seven days. Eight of his 10 home runs have also come against right-handed pitching.
Las Vegas Ballpark has to play a big factor in these two teams combining for 34 hits in the series opener (the second-most in a game this season), after there were just six such games with that many hits between two teams last season.
Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.