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MLB Home Run Props & Picks: Wednesday (6/24)

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Last Wednesday, our MLB home run props turned a profit when Milwaukee Brewers slugger Jackson Chourio went yard, cashing a +454 wager.

Today’s best home run props feature one of the American League’s hottest sluggers and a big bat from the American League’s hottest team. Plus, Shohei Ohtani, who looks to stay hot at the plate in games he toes the rubber.

Here are my top MLB home run props for Wednesday’s loaded 16-game slate thanks to the Cubs-Mets doubleheader.

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      Wednesday’s Best MLB Home Run Props

      (Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

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      Jac Caglianone (+529)

        In 54 games from March to May, Jac Caglianone batted .236 with five home runs, 11 RBI and a .685 OPS. But through his first 18 games in June, the Royals slugger was batting .379 with seven homers, 16 RBI and a 1.210 OPS.

        Caglianone has the second-furthest average home run distance (416 feet) of any player who has hit 10+ home runs this season.

        The Royals slugger likely owes a lot of his power increase to a change in his batting stance. In 2025, Caglianone had a 42.8-inch distance between his feet at the plate. From March to May, that distance lowered to 41.7 inches. It’s 39.7 inches this month.

        Caglianone has also done damage against hard throwers this year. Against pitches of at least 95 miles per hour (MPH) last season, the lefty batted .147 with a .235 slugging rate and 42.3% hard-hit rate.

        In that split this season entering Tuesday, those numbers improved to a .310 batting average, .476 slugging rate and 60% hard-hit rate. Overall, Caglianone’s 15.1% hard-hit increase over the last two seasons is the second-highest increase of any batter with a minimum of 100 plate appearances in both years.

        Dillon Dingler (+512)

          Detroit entered Tuesday amid a four-game winning streak and an American League-best 12-6 in June. The Tigers’ splits between May and June were staggering:

          Runs Per Game Run Differential Home Runs Batting Average OPS ERA
          May 2.9 -48 18 .204 .597 4.13
          June 5.4 +34 35 .253 .819 3.83

          Dillon Dingler had a three-game multi-hit streak snapped in Monday’s series opener. But he still entered Tuesday slashing .365/.388/.743 in June, with seven home runs and 12 total extra-base hits.

          Dingler looks to take advantage of a matchup against Yankees southpaw Ryan Weathers, and we’re getting great odds for this play considering just four of his 18 home runs this season have come against left-handed pitching. Weathers has allowed eight home runs over his last four starts, and multiple home runs in four of his last six.

          Shohei Ohtani (+244)

          After Shohei Ohtani finished a 1-for-4 performance with a leadoff home run in Monday’s series opener against the Twins, he was slashing .424/.562/.818 slg in his last 18 road games.

          For those worried about his hitting on a day where he is the team’s starting pitcher, he has a home run in three of his last five games pitched, with a separate three-hit game mixed in.

          Ohtani faces Twins lefty Connor Prielipp, who has allowed a home run in consecutive starts. Prielipp also has reverse splits, with worse batting averages and slugging rates against left-handed batters. He ranks in the 22nd percentile in barrel rate and in the 18th percentile in average exit velocity.

          Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.

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