MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions: Monday (4/6)
Today’s Major League Baseball (MLB) slate features 13 games. It’s a robust slate, with many betting options. Check out the top MLB picks & predictions below.
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Monday’s Best MLB Picks & Predictions
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook | All bets are for 1 unit
Los Angeles Dodgers (-138) at Toronto Blue Jays (+118) | O/U 8.5 (-115/-105)
Unfortunately, Mookie Betts is on the injured list (IL), removing a potent bat from the lineup for the Dodgers. Nevertheless, they have ample firepower to rough up Max Scherzer and Toronto’s bullpen.
According to FanGraphs, seven Dodgers hitters have posted at least a 107 wRC+ against righties since 2024. Moreover, six have had at least a 114 wRC+, five have had at least a 127 wRC+ and four have had at least a 144 wRC+. The lineup will feature depth and high-end talent.
The lineup should also include six players who will bat left-handed against Scherzer. Since last year, Scherzer has coughed up a .254 batting average, .300 on-base percentage (OBP), .528 slugging rate and .351 wOBA to 210 left-handed batters faced since last season.
Toronto’s bullpen isn’t an imposing matchup for the Dodgers, either. The relievers for the Blue Jays have a 4.67 ERA in 44.1 innings this season.
Scherzer and Toronto’s bullpen are ill-equipped to hold the Dodgers to under 4.5 runs. Los Angeles has scored the fourth-most runs (54) in nine games this year. They have cleared 4.5 runs in three straight games and in five out of nine games this season. The Dodgers should do so again tonight.
Pick: Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5 Runs (-104)
Seattle Mariners (-104) at Texas Rangers (-112) | O/U 7.5 (-110/-110)
The Mariners and Rangers both sit just under .500 in the early going, looking up at the Angels and the Astros in the American League West standings. They’ll trot their aces out to the hill tonight, with Logan Gilbert getting the ball for the Mariners and Jacob deGrom toeing the slab for the Rangers.
Neither Gilbert nor deGrom has gotten off to an ideal start. Gilbert has coughed up eight runs on 12 hits (one homer) and three walks in two starts, totaling just 10.2 innings. Conversely, deGrom has made only one start, allowing three runs (one homer) on six hits and zero walks in 4.2 innings.
Both of Gilbert’s starts were at home, and deGrom’s was in hitter-friendly Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The former will make his first road start of the year, which is notable because of his splits.
Gilbert had a 4.74 ERA and 3.86 xFIP in 62.2 innings on the road last year. He also has a 3.85 ERA and 3.82 xFIP in 428.1 innings on the road versus a 3.38 ERA and 3.24 xFIP in 417.2 innings on the road in his career. Gilbert’s road numbers certainly aren’t awful, but in a battle of high-quality starters, his less impressive road stats matter.
Meanwhile, deGrom spun a blistering 2.35 ERA and 3.37 xFIP in 88 innings at home last year. Moreover, the Rangers have a 98 wRC+ compared to the Mariners’ 92 wRC+ in the early going this year. Ultimately, the Rangers are correctly favored, but the -112 line is a relative bargain compared to the consensus -125 line. Texas is good chalk to eat tonight.
Pick: Rangers Moneyline (-112)
Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.