MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (6/1)
It’s already June. That means good weather is eventually coming in. I’ve added two MLB picks and bets that you’ll want to consider for today’s massive slate of games.
Let’s finish the weekend strong.
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Sunday’s Best MLB Picks & Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Bets & Picks
The Arizona Diamondbacks were embarrassed after allowing 11 runs in the first two innings of last night’s game against the Washington Nationals. The Diamondbacks clawed back but still lost, 11-7.
Despite the tough loss, the Diamondbacks hung in there and ultimately played better than the Nationals in the final seven innings. They’ll likely keep that momentum up today.
Mitchell Parker will take the hill for the Nationals. The left-hander has allowed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .396 to his last 105 batters. He’s struck out just 19% of his previous 105 batters and has allowed 33.8% of fly balls with only 35.1% of ground balls induced.
Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks’ projected lineup has smashed a .208 ISO and wOBA of .355 against lefties. The lineup has also struck out just 18.4% of the time. They’re an aggressive bunch with a lot of power.
On the other hand, Corbin Burnes is expected to make another start for Arizona. While he started slow, he’s been terrific recently. Burnes has limited his last 105 batters to a .073 ISO and wOBA of .224. He’s also induced 54.4% of ground balls and has struck out 27.6% of his previous 105 batters.
The Nationals have four batters hitting a .111 ISO or worse against righties over the last 30 days. The overall lineup doesn’t compare to what the Diamondbacks have. Additionally, Burnes has shown significant improvement over the last month.
I’ll take the Diamondbacks on the run line. They’ll get their revenge.
Pick: Diamondbacks -1.5 (-115)
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Bets & Picks
The Minnesota Twins will pitch Chris Paddack for today’s game against the Seattle Mariners. He has been terrific over the last month. He’s only struck out 15.7% of batters, but he’s also limited walks to 4.3%. In addition, he’s held his last 115 batters to a .065 ISO and wOBA of .238. That’s mainly because he’s been able to limit line drives below 20% over the last month.
That said, he’ll battle a projected Mariners lineup that has smacked just a .129 ISO and wOBA of .262 against righties over the last month. The Mariners have also added just 7% of walks and have struck out more than 21% of the time over the last 30 days against righties. Paddack should do fine today.
Conversely, the Twins’ projected lineup has hit a .164 ISO and wOBA of .287 with only 4.3% of walks over the last 30 days against righties. They’ve also been below average and will face Luis Castillo.
Castillo has limited his last 123 batters to a .096 ISO and wOBA of .284. Like Paddack, he won’t add a high strikeout rate anymore, but he’s kept walks down and has limited opponents to a .296 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) throughout the season.
This matchup should be a fun pitcher’s duel. There won’t be many strikeouts, but we’ll rely on the fielders to clean up the easy outs. Take the under.
Pick: Under 7.5 Runs (-122)