MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (6/22)
It’s Sunday Funday. I’ve added two MLB picks you’ll want to consider for today’s slate.
Let’s close out the weekend strong and make some profit before Game 7 of the NBA Finals.
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Sunday’s Best MLB Picks & Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Picks
There’s nothing more fun than betting on an over in Coors Field.
The Diamondbacks will roll with Brandon Pfaadt. He’s a righty who has only struck out 14.7% of batters over the last month. In addition, he’s allowed a .286 ISO and wOBA of .445 to his last 95 hitters. Those 95 hitters have hit 70.4% of hard contact and 35.2% of line drives with only 35.2% of ground balls. Meanwhile, the Rockies have five batters who have hit an ISO of at least .174 against righties over the last month. Combined, they’ve earned a .218 ISO and wOBA of .340 against righties as a projected lineup. There’s reason to believe the Rockies will put up a big number offensively.
On the other hand, Antonio Senzatela will take the hill. He’s a righty who has allowed a .250 ISO and wOBA of .434 to his last 61 lefties. Those 61 lefties have only struck out 4.9% of the time and have walked 14.8% of the time. Beyond that, he’s also allowed 65.3% of hard contact and has given up more than 30% of line drives himself over the last month.
Senzatela will take on a Diamondbacks lineup that should have seven lefties in it. Those lefties have struck out below 20% of the time over the last 30 days and have collectively hit a .324 wOBA with nearly 11% of walks. The Diamondbacks should also create havoc on the basepaths.
Consider the over in this divisional game.
Pick: Over 12.5 Runs (-122)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics MLB Picks
The Athletics will send out left-handed starter JP Sears. He hasn’t been very good, allowing a .344 ISO and wOBA of .444 to his last 104 batters. That said, he’s facing a Guardians offense that has only hit a .115 ISO and wOBA of .258 against lefties in the previous 30 days. Instead, the Guardians have struck out 24.7% of the time over the last 30 days against lefties and have walked only 6.2% of the time.
This is a spot where Sears can bounce back and pitch well. After all, he doesn’t walk a whole lot of batters.
Conversely, the Guardians will run it back with Slade Cecconi. The right-hander has given up a .204 ISO and wOBA of .347 with 34.2% fly balls and 24.7% of line drives in the last 30 days. Cecconi has earned only 35.6% of ground balls over that same period but has struck out 23.4% of batters.
Ultimately, the Athletics have a much more lethal offense right now. The projected lineup has hit a .210 ISO and wOBA of .359 against righties over the last month. Lawrence Butler, Jacob Wilson, Brent Rooker, Nick Kurtz, Max Muncy and Tyler Soderstrom have all been consistently hitting righties well over the previous month.
Therefore, consider the Athletics at home on the Moneyline. They have the better offense in this one.
Pick: Athletics Moneyline (+108)