MLB Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (8/3)
The Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds were postponed after playing a little over one half of an inning yesterday due to rain at the Bristol Motor Speedway. What was supposed to be an exciting game quickly turned into a nightmare due to the rain. Hopefully, that game has the same energy as yesterday’s game before the first pitch.
That said, I’m certainly not betting on that game. I’ve got a couple of other bets you’ll want to consider, though. Check out my top two MLB bets for today’s slate of games below.
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Sunday’s Best MLB Picks & Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels
The Chicago White Sox are one of the worst teams in baseball. But they’ve improved tremendously from a year ago.
They’ll send out Sean Burke, who has struck out nearly 24% of batters faced over the last 30 days. Burke has also limited his last 39 righties to a .061 ISO and wOBA of .308 with 54.2% of ground balls induced.
In addition, he’s set to face an Angels lineup that has only hit a .154 ISO and wOBA of .326 against righties over the last month. Only Mike Trout, Taylor Ward and Gustavo Campero have hit a higher ISO than .149 against righties in the previous 30 days.
On the flip side, the Angels will roll with Jack Kochanowicz, who has only struck out 11.3% of the batters he has faced over the last month. He also has a walk rate of 14.5% and has allowed a .353 wOBA. While he earns a high rate of grounders and gives up a low amount of fly balls and line drives, Kochanowicz is still allowing balls in play and continues to fall behind in counts.
That will hurt him against the White Sox. Chicago’s projected lineup has hit a .207 ISO and wOBA of .366 with only 18.3% of strikeouts over the last 30 days against righties. They’ll make Kochanowicz work and should be able to grind out a solid chunk of runs tonight.
Let’s roll with the White Sox on the Moneyline.
Pick: White Sox Moneyline (+110)
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
It’s Jacob deGrom Day. The veteran righty has struck out 33% of his last 91 batters and has only walked 5.5% of them. He’s also added 18% of swinging strikes and has given up a batting average on balls in play (BABIP) of just .260 to his last 91 batters.
Today, he’ll battle a Mariners lineup that has a high ISO and wOBA over the last month. But the lineup also has six batters who have struck out at least 22.7% of the time against righties over the previous month. It’s a high probability that deGrom can rack up strikeouts against the Mariners.
Meanwhile, Seattle will send out Logan Evans. He is a righty who has allowed a .231 ISO and wOBA of .416 to his last 89 batters faced. He’s struck out only 19.1% of batters in that time and has a walk rate over 10%.
Texas has five hitters that have added a .161 ISO or better over the last 30 days against righties. The Rangers have a walk rate of nearly 11% against righties over the last month. If the Rangers continue to stay patient against righties, it should be a good day for Texas at the plate.
Let’s rock with the Rangers on the Moneyline.
Pick: Rangers Moneyline (-146)