MLB Picks & Predictions: +EV Best Bets for Saturday (9/19)
You’ll find plenty of amazing, valuable MLB picks using the market-based EV page. Instead of searching and surfing through sportsbook odds all day, you can pull up this page and find the most valuable bets on the market.
Here are three MLB bets to place today.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Saturday’s Best +EV MLB Picks
All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated | Odds courtesy of Novig
Andrew Painter Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+144)
- Fair Value: +126
- Market EV: +8%
Andrew Painter has struck out 23.4% of batters over the last month. That’s up from his 19.7% strikeout rate this season. Ultimately, he’s added 30.4% of strikeouts against righties in the last 30 days.
The Mets should have at least four righties in the lineup. Plus, Painter has held his last 124 batters to a .080 ISO and a wOBA of .256. There’s a good chance he can go deep into this game.
That said, you can bet on Painter to add at least five strikeouts at +144 odds on Novig. The true value is +126, and the market EV is set at 8%. This is a tremendous play.
Christian Scott Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+141)
- Fair Value: +126
- Market EV: +7%
Christian Scott is set to face Andrew Painter in today’s Mets-Phillies game. Scott has added 25.6% of strikeouts and has a high strikeout rate against both sides of the plate.
Additionally, Scott is facing a Phillies lineup with a .286 wOBA against righties over the last 30 days. Likely, he’ll also go deep into this game for the Mets.
Scott to land at least six strikeouts is +141 on Novig, but the consensus believes it should be +126. That’s a 7% play and another bet you’ll want to add to your portfolio.
Cal Quantrill Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
- Fair Value: +112
- Market EV: +6%
Cal Quantrill doesn’t have an easy task against the Toronto Blue Jays tonight. That said, he’s held his last 116 batters to a .250 wOBA and has even earned 23.3% of strikeouts.
Meanwhile, the Blue Jays’ projected lineup has just a .149 ISO over the last month against righties. If Quantrill keeps the power down and continues to induce a decent amount of ground balls, he’ll likely last at least six innings.
Quantrill to go over 17.5 outs recorded is +125 on Novig. The fair value is +112. You’ll want to place this bet immediately.