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MLB Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (5/31)

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Get all of your work done early this morning. There are seven afternoon games on tonight’s slate! The other half of the league will play at night, giving us plenty of MLB action throughout the day.

I’m on three-player props for tonight’s slate of games. Which ones will you join in with me?

Wednesday’s Best MLB Player Props

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins

Braxton Garrett will take the hill for the Marlins tonight. The lefty has a 4.26 xFIP in the last month but has given up 26.9% of line drives and has earned only 38.5% of ground balls over the last 30 days.

His last 94 righties faced have hit a .376 wOBA and ISO of .250.

Fernando Tatis has crushed lefties since returning to the diamond. He’s hitting a .591 ISO and wOBA of .539 against his last 24 lefties faced. He’s in a good position to earn two total bases tonight, especially because he’ll be batting lead-off.

Bet: Fernando Tatis Over 1.5 Total Bases (-135)

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Toronto Blue Jays

At this point, Alek Manoah should probably be in the minors. He’s struggled on the mound in 2023.

Manoah has had a 6.97 xFIP over the last 30 days. He’s also walked the same number of batters he’s struck out in the previous month. And he’s walked 16.4% of batters over the last 30 days.

His last 40 righties have hit a .375 wOBA with an ISO of .229. Owen Miller, a right-handed bat on the Brewers, has smacked a .314 ISO and wOBA of .450 against his last 54 righties faced.

I haven’t been betting against Manoah. Instead, I’ve been expecting him to figure it out. But it’s not happening anymore. He’s been one of the worst pitchers in baseball.

Bet: Owen Miller Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros

The Houston Astros have found a gem for their rotation. Hunter Brown is seriously one of the best pitchers in baseball right now. He’s holding a 2.84 xFIP over the last 30 days and has struck out 29.6% of batters. Brown has also earned 55.6% of ground balls and limited fly balls to 19.4%.

Brown will face a Minnesota lineup that has struck out 28.7% of the time against righties over the last 30 days. They’ve got seven batters striking out at least 25% of the time against righties in the projected lineup. Max Kepler has struck out 19% of the time, and we don’t have a full sample size to know about Royce Lewis and his strikeout numbers yet. But the rest of the lineup has struggled to hit the ball.

When the Twins finally put the ball in play, their projected lineup has a .288 BABIP against righties. That’s also not going to get the job done. Brown will likely get deep into this game and should be able to earn at least seven strikeouts.

Bet: Hunter Brown Over 6.5 K’s (-162)

Also make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday:

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