Top 3 MLB Player Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Wednesday (7/10)
Thanks to two rainouts yesterday, there are 17 MLB games on the schedule today.
The selection of props for today’s MLB slate is massive. Therefore, I’ve done the hard work for you. Here are my favorite three MLB player prop bet picks for the night.
Wednesday’s Best MLB Player Prop Bets
(MLB player prop bet odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Michael King Over 6.5 Ks (-152)
Michael King has been a high-strikeout pitcher throughout the season. He’s added 27% of strikeouts this year. However, over the last 30 days, he’s taken it up a notch.
King has added 32.2% of strikeouts against his last 115 batters. He’s also held those batters to a .095 ISO and wOBA of .310 with only 7.8% of walks.
Tonight, the Padres righty will face a Mariners lineup that has struck out 29% of the time against righties. The projected lineup has eight batters with strikeout rates of at least 24.7% against righties in the last month. With eight targets and King’s massive strikeout rate, let’s take him to go Over 6.5 Ks tonight.
Tyler O’Neill Over 1.5 Total Bases (-135)
The Red Sox will take on J.P. Sears of the Oakland Athletics. He’s a left-handed starter who has allowed a .278 ISO and wOBA of .474 to his last 92 righties. Those 92 righties have only struck out 12% of the time and have hit 33.8% of fly balls.
Sears has faced over 300 righties this season and has still allowed a .205 ISO and woBA of .353 with only 15.1% of strikeouts. He’s just been even worse against righties as of late.
Meanwhile, Tyler O’Neill has slugged a .423 ISO and wOBA of .530 against lefties over the last month. He’s got a high strikeout rate, but Sears isn’t a big threat against righties with strikeouts anyway.
Let’s back O’Neill to add at least two total bases in tonight’s showdown.
C.J. Abrams Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Over the last month, C.J. Abrams has added a .386 ISO and wOBA of .596 against righties. He’s also struck out below 10% of the time while hitting 32% of fly balls and 34% of line drives.
Beyond that, Abrams has limited ground balls to 32% and has hit 48% of hard contact with a 10% barrel percentage. All of these numbers have helped Abrams hit a .500 BABIP in 71 plate appearances.
He’ll take on Luis Severino of the Mets. Severino hasn’t earned a heavy amount of strikeouts this season. He’s earned just 16.4% of strikeouts against lefties and has only added 14.7% of strikeouts over the last month against lefties.
He’s also allowed 37% of fly balls and an ISO of .297 with a wOBA of .388 over the last month against lefties. Severino has given up 44.4% of hard contact and has added just 7% of swinging strikes against lefties over the previous month.
He’s held righties to low power, but he’s really struggled against lefties. Let’s back Abrams to earn at least two total bases in tonight’s game. He can earn two base hits or earn an extra-base hit thanks to his hustle.