MLB Player Props & Bets: Wednesday (5/28)
We’ve got a loaded slate filled with games in the MLB throughout the day. I reviewed each game and found my three favorite MLB player props to consider for tonight’s portion of the slate.
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Wednesday’s Best MLB Player Props & Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Willson Contreras Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Willson Contreras and the St. Louis Cardinals will take on Cade Povich of the Orioles. He’s a left-handed pitcher who has allowed a .209 ISO and wOBA of .378 to his first 152 righties this season.
Ultimately, Povich has given up 54.1% of hard contact and 27% of line drives to righties this season. He’s also struck out righties just 18.4% of the time this season. Over the last 30 days, Povich has added just 15.9% of strikeouts and has given up even more hard contact.
Meanwhile, Contreras has slugged a .318 ISO and wOBA of .468 against his last 24 lefties. He’s also struck out just 12.5% of the time and has hit 57.9% of hard contact with a team-best 21.1% barrel percentage against lefties over the last month.
Contreras has also added a .389 BABIP against lefties in the last month. He’s been incredible. Let’s take his Over.
Tanner Gordon Under 3.5 Ks (-125)
The Colorado Rockies will roll with Tanner Gordon tonight. The right-hander has only struck out 17.3% of batters since getting the call to the Majors. He’s also allowed a .331 wOBA to 52 batters and has given up nearly 28% of line drives to start the season.
Conversly, he’ll take on a Cubs lineup that has struck out just 17.8% of the time. Chicago has three batters who have struck out more than 22.4% of the time. In that projected lineup, four batters have struck out no more than 13.5% of the time against righties over the last month.
Gordon has added just 8.5% of swinging strikes to start the year. That’s a below-average number. Therefore, we’ll take Gordon to go Under 3.5 Ks tonight.
Cal Raleigh Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Cal Raleigh has smacked a .275 ISO and wOBA of .406 against his last 69 righties. He’s a switch-hitter who will be batting left-handed against Trevor Williams tonight.
Williams has allowed a .232 ISO and wOBA of .402 to his last 63 lefties. He’s also given up a .216 ISO and wOBA of .436 to 130 lefties this season. Beyond that, he’s struck out only 13.8% of lefties this season and has seen this number decrease over the last month.
Raleigh has hit 65.7% of hard contact and a 17.1% barrel percentage against righties over the last month. He’s easily Seattle’s best power hitter and has a terrific matchup against Williams, who has struggled against lefties this season. Ride Raleigh to add at least two total bases tonight.