MLB Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions: Monday (4/21)
We’ve got a smaller slate in the MLB tonight. The White Sox and Red Sox will play at 11:10 a.m. ET, and then there are only seven other games on the slate for tonight.
Still, there’s value on the board. I’ve added two same-game parlays (SGPs) you’ll want to consider for tonight’s matchups.
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Monday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlays
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
San Diego Padres vs. Detroit Tigers
- Leg 1: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130)
- Leg 2: Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100)
- Leg 3: Keider Montero Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+118)
The Tigers will roll with Keider Montero for tonight’s game against the San Diego Padres. Montero is a right-hander who has struck out 33.3% of his first 24 batters. He’s also walked only 4.2% of batters this season.
Meanwhile, Montero has also allowed a .500 ISO and wOBA of .507 with 40% of fly balls and only 33.3% of ground balls this year. In addition, righties have hit 60% of fly balls and 60% hard contact against Montero.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has already slugged a .407 ISO and wOBA of .535 against righties this season. He’s in line for a big night. There’s also Manny Machado, who is missing a high ISO but still has a .357 wOBA with only a 10.9% strikeout rate.
Furthermore, Montero struck out below 19% of batters last season. It’s doubtful he’ll sustain a 33.3% strikeout rate against the Padres tonight. Luis Arraez probably won’t be in the lineup, but the Padres still only have three batters who have struck out more than 22.2% of the time against righties this year. Conclude this parlay with Montero to go under 3.5 strikeouts.
Parlay Odds: +599
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
- Leg 1: Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
- Leg 2: Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125)
- Leg 3: Tylor Megill Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150)
Aaron Nola will take the hill for the Philadelphia Phillies tonight. He’s a veteran right-handed pitcher who just hasn’t figured out lefties this season. Nola has allowed a .239 ISO and wOBA of .410 with 36.4% of fly balls and only 30.3% of ground balls induced. Additionally, Nola has given up 54.5% of hard contact and more than 24% of line drives.
Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto should be able to take advantage. Lindor has struck out only 14.5% of the time against righties and has hit a .339 wOBA. Meanwhile, Juan Soto has delivered a .200 ISO and says he’s found something in his swing that led to his success yesterday against the Cardinals. Soto has also struck out only 15.9% of the time against righties this year.
Lastly, Tylor Megill has struck out 23.3% of batters this season. That’s already three percentage points lower than his rate last season. That said, he’s facing a Phillies lineup that has six batters who have struck out no more than 21.4% of the time against righties. Megill doesn’t have too many targets. Getting six strikeouts against this lineup will be a challenge.
Parlay Odds: +653