Top NBA Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (11/29)
We only have three games on the slate for tonight’s NBA action. However, all three games should be close, with spreads ranging from 1.5 to as high as five tonight.
The Knicks and Pistons will play on local channels, while the Warriors and Mavericks, along with the Clippers and Trail Blazers, will get nationally televised games on TNT.
Let’s break down those two national broadcasts. Here are our top bets for tonight’s TNT games.
(Odds courtesy DraftKings)
Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
The Golden State Warriors are finally back over .500. They’ve won four of their last five games, with wins over the Clippers, Jazz, and Timberwolves. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are still under .500, sitting at 9-10 on the year. They’ll be able to get back to .500 with a win at home against the Warriors.
In Golden State’s last four wins, the offense has been grooving. They’ve scored at least 125 points per 100 possessions in each win and an effective field goal percentage of at least 62.6%. Against the Clippers and Jazz, the Warriors were also dominant on the offensive glass.
Meanwhile, the defense has still been a struggle for the Warriors. They shined against the Clippers but have rarely earned turnovers in the last five games. Still, they’ve held teams to a 54.5% effective field goal percentage or worse in the four wins.
On the other hand, the Mavericks are on a four-game losing streak. However, the offense hasn’t been bad. They scored 118.5 points per 100 possessions in three of their last five games. The Mavericks have just been awful on the offensive glass.
Plus, defensively, Dallas has allowed opponents to shoot a 65.7% or higher effective field goal percentage in two of their last three games.
The Warriors should have no problem dominating Dallas’ defense. Dallas’ offense will get quality looks against Golden State. I’m backing the Over 228 here.
Bet: Over 228 (-110 at DraftKings)
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Portland Trail Blazers
The Clippers have been without John Wall, Kawhi Leonard, Paul George, and Luke Kennard. None of those four key players will play against Portland on the road.
Without those playmakers, the offense has been a disaster. They’ve earned no more than 109.5 points per 100 possessions in their last three games and have shot an effective field goal percentage of 50% or under in two of those games. The turnovers are getting high, with 15.6% or higher in those three games.
On the other hand, Portland’s last four of their last five games. The Blazers are coming off a 111-97 loss to the Nets. The offense has scored under 100 points in Portland’s last two losses. But the offense hasn’t been the real problem.
It’s the defense.
The Blazers have allowed 120.6 or more points per 100 possessions in their last three games. Opponents have shot a 63% effective field goal percentage in Portland’s last two losses, and the Blazers have earned under 10% of turnovers in their last two games.
The Blazers might be 11-9, but without Damian Lillard, the Blazers are a non-contender. I’m rolling with the Clippers as a 3.5-point underdog. This team is already coming off a win against the Pacers after Ivica Zubac scored 31 points and added 29 rebounds.
Bet: Clippers +3.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
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