NBA Betting Systems Picks & Predictions: Friday (2/21)
There’s money to be made tonight in the NBA. Therefore, I went right over to the NBA Betting Systems and found a few value plays.
I shared them below. Consider tailing these systems if you like what you see.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
NBA Betting System Plays For Friday
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Points unders. Under 50% season
The “Points unders. Under 50% season” system has added a 22% return on investment (ROI) over the last year. It’s also hit 65.3% of the time during its last 5,914 bets.
This system looks for players to go under their points total with a cost of -150 to +150. Beyond that, the system needs players who have gone over their total in fewer than 50% of the time. In addition, the system also needs players who have hit the over in points in no more than two of the last five and six of the previous 10 games.
I’m specifically eying Immanuel Quickley to go under 15.5 points using the system. Ultimately, Quickley has scored at least 16 points in only 38% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in just four of his last 10. Beyond that, he’s facing a Miami defense ranked seventh in the NBA in points allowed to point guards this season.
This isn’t an easy matchup for Quickley. Take the under.
Pick: Immanuel Quickley Under 15.5 Points (-103)
3PT – 50%
The “3PT – 50%” system looks for players to go over their three-point total for the night. To qualify for this system, a player must have a cost of -250 to +700 and have hit the over in at least three of the last five and five of the last 10 games.
Mike Conley fits the script.
The Minnesota Timberwolves point guard has nailed at least two threes in four of his last five games. He’s also hit this line in two consecutive games and has drilled at least two threes in seven of his last 10 games.
Meanwhile, the Rockets rank 23rd in three-pointers allowed to point guards. Houston’s defense is great, but giving up threes to point guards is one of its blemishes.
Take Conley to nail at least two threes tonight.
Pick: Mike Conley Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-150)
Points under win
The last system we’ll look at is “Points under win.”
This system looks for players to go under their points total. Ultimately, the player’s prop odds must be between -150 to +110 and have hit the over in no more than two of the last five and five of the previous 10 games.
Alperen Sengun of the Rockets fits this model well. He’s added at least 19 points in only 44% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in just one of his last five games. Plus, he’s added at least 19 points in just three of his last 10 games.
Add to that the fact he’s facing a Minnesota defense ranked third in points allowed to centers and it doesn’t look too good for Sengun tonight. Consider taking the under on his points prop.
Pick: Alperen Sengun Under 18.5 Points (-121)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Friday: