NBA Betting Systems Picks & Predictions: Friday (4/11)
We’ve got a full slate of games in the NBA tonight. There are so many teams resting starters and very few teams fighting for playoff positions at this point. Keep that in mind before you bet anything.
That said, I looked at the most profitable NBA Betting Systems and pinpointed the three best bets to consider for tonight’s action.
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NBA Betting System Plays For Friday
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Points o3-4
This first system looks for players to go over in the points category. To qualify, the player must have hit the over in at least three of the last four games in the regular season.
Meanwhile, this system has added a 7.8% return on investment (ROI) and has won 57.6% of its bets over the last year.
Al Horford of the Celtics fits the script. He’s scored at least 10 points in four of his last five games and has earned at least 10 points in four of his last six games against the Hornets.
Ultimately, the Hornets rank 15th in the NBA in points allowed to centers. Horford has also seen a usage percentage of at least 19.7% in four of his last five games. He’s also shot 48.6% from the field over the last five games and has attempted more than 11 shots per game. Against the Hornets, I like Horford’s chances to add at least 10 points tonight.
So does the system.
Pick: Al Horford Over 9.5 Points (-121)
3 Pt Under Recent Cold Streak
The “3 Pt Under Recent Cold Streak” system has added a 16.2% ROI over its last 7,278 bets. It’s also earned a 66.8% win percentage and has earned 1,180 units of profit.
This system looks for players to go under in the three-point market. The system inputs include that a player must have hit the over in no more than two of the last five games, six of the last 10 games or nine of the last 15 games.
Kel’el Ware has added at least one three in just two of his last 10 games. He’s hit at least one three in only 20% of his last 10 games. Meanwhile, he’s in line to face a Pelicans defense that ranked fifth in the NBA in three-point field goal attempts allowed to centers. In addition, the Pelicans rank 12th in the NBA in three-pointers allowed to centers.
Ware hasn’t even attempted a three in two of his last three games. Take his under.
Pick: Kel’el Ware Under 0.5 Three-Pointers Made (-145)
Rebs over system
Let’s finish off the night with the “Rebs over system” betting system. It’s added a 16.7% ROI with a 64.4% win percentage throughout the last year.
This system looks for players to go over in the rebounds department. Meanwhile, the player has to have hit the over in at least 50% of the games to qualify. In addition, the player also has to have hit the over rebounds prop in at least three of the last five games and five of the last 10 games.
Rudy Gobert of the Minnesota Timberwolves has earned at least 11 rebounds in seven of his last 10 games. He’s also hit this line in 50% of games this season. Furthermore, he’s added at least 11 rebounds in four of his last five head-to-head matchups against the Brooklyn Nets.
The Nets rank just 24th in defensive rebounds allowed to centers. They’ve also given up a solid rate of second-chance points and rank 18th in the NBA in rebounds allowed to centers. Look for Gobert to take advantage.
Pick: Rudy Gobert Over 10.5 Rebounds (-146)