NBA Play-In Tournament Betting Systems Picks & Predictions: Friday (4/18)
We’ve got two more NBA Play-In Tournament matchups tonight. The winners will earn the No. 8 seed in their respective conference and a spot in the NBA playoffs.
I reviewed each matchup and added three system plays using the NBA Betting Systems on BettingPros. Let’s stay hot.
NBA Betting System Plays For Friday
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
under points 60%+ hit rate low vig
The “under points 60%+ hit rate low vig” system has earned a 16.2% return on investment (ROI) with a 62.4% win percentage over its last 4,748 bets. Ultimately, this system looks for players to go under in their points total, with odds ranging from -130 to -101. It also looks for the player to have hit the over in no more than two of the last five games and four of the last 10 games.
Onyeka Okungwu of the Hawks fits the script. The Hawks center has hit at least 15 points in just two of his last five and four of his last 10. He’s also added at least 15 points in just 15% of head-to-head matchups against the Miami Heat in his career.
Additionally, Okungwu will face a Heat team ranked eighth in the NBA in points allowed to centers. Nothing will come easily for Okungwu. Let’s back his under.
Pick: Onyeka Okungwu Under 14.5 Points (-105)
Under rebounds season %
This system looks for players to go under in rebounds. So far, it’s added a 7.7% ROI with a 59.8% win percentage over its last 4,634 bets. It’s also added more than 357 units of profit over the last year.
This system looks for players who have hit the over less than 68% of the time in the rebounds category. In addition, the player can’t have hit the over in more than six of the last 15 games to qualify for this system.
Atlanta rookie Zaccharie Risacher has added at least four rebounds in just 43% of games this season. He’s also added at least four rebounds in just one of his last five games and three of his last 10 games. Beyond that, he’s hit at least four rebounds in just 43% of games this season.
Risacher will battle a Heat team ranked fourth in the NBA in rebounds allowed to small forwards. That’s not ideal for Risacher. I’m on the under.
Pick: Zaccharie Risacher Under 3.5 Rebounds (-160)
NBA 3PM Under 50% -175+
The last system has earned a 14.6% ROI with a 64.3% win percentage. It’s also added nearly 493 units of profit over its last 3,381 bets.
To qualify for the “NBA 3PM Under 50% -175+” system, a player has to have hit the over in fewer than 50% of games this season. Beyond that, the cost for the player’s under has to be at -175 to +1100. In addition, the player has to have hit the over in no more than two of the last five, five of the last 10, eight of the last 15 and 10 of the last 20 games.
While the Miami Heat aren’t great at defending the three, we can’t ignore the fact that Trae Young has added at least four threes in just 32% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in just 15% of his last 20 head-to-head games against the Heat. Young has earned at least four threes in two of his last five but only three of his last 10.
Even for Young, asking for four three-pointers is a lot. Consider the under.
Pick: Trae Young Under 3.5 Three-Pointers Made (-166)