NBA Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday (2/11)
We’ve got a doubleheader on TNT tonight. The Knicks will face the Pacers in the first game at 7:30 pm ET, followed by the Grizzlies vs. the Suns at 10:00 pm ET.
I’ve got best bets for both games below.
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Tuesday’s Best NBA Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers
Right off the bat, a couple of significant players are game-time decisions. Myles Turner of the Pacers hasn’t played since Thursday but could be available for tonight’s game. Meanwhile, OG Anunoby has missed games since February 1st but hasn’t been ruled out for tonight’s game yet.
You’ll want to monitor those two as game time gets closer.
That said, the Knicks are still among the best offenses in the NBA. Despite the defeat to the Celtics in their last game on Saturday, New York ranks second in the NBA in points per 100 possessions. The Knicks have also shot a 57% effective field goal percentage and have limited turnovers to 12.8%. Ultimately, the Pacers have allowed a 54.9% effective field goal percentage and are also below average on the defensive glass and fouling. The Knicks should be able to take advantage.
On the other hand, the Pacers should have no problems finding good looks. Indiana ranks fifth in the NBA in effective field goal percentage, while the Knicks rank 24th defensively. That said, the Knicks are much better on the defensive glass and won’t allow nearly as many foul shots. After all, the Pacers have grabbed just 23.7% of offensive rebounds per game and rank 20th in offensive free throw rate. It’s those two areas that will let the Pacers down tonight.
Grab the Knicks at -2.5 on the road.
Pick: Knicks -2.5 (-110)
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns
The Phoenix Suns won’t have Bradley Beal due to a toe injury. Meanwhile, Kevin Durant missed the previous game with an ankle injury. That said, it looks like Durant will give it a go and play alongside Devin Booker. The Suns’ Big 3 haven’t figured it out this season. With a loss today, the Suns would be below .500.
The defense already ranks 27th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions. Phoenix has forced just 12.6% of turnovers, which stands out since the Grizzlies typically turn the ball over at a high rate. If the Suns can’t force Memphis to turn it over, it’s going to be a long night. In addition, Memphis has grabbed 33.1% of offensive rebounds, while the Suns have given up 28.4% of offensive rebounds.
The Suns tried to correct this with the addition of Nick Richards. However, he’s been weak on the offensive side of the ball and hasn’t been much of a factor since the Suns acquired him.
On the other hand, the Suns have plenty of offensive firepower. Yet, Phoenix has shot a 56% effective field goal percentage, which is ninth in the NBA. The Suns are no good on the offensive glass and will likely miss many shots since the Grizzlies have held opponents to a 52.5% effective field goal percentage. We might catch the Suns at the foul line a lot in this game, but I don’t think that’ll be enough to get by the Grizzlies.
Let’s back the road team in the late-night game, too.
Pick: Grizzlies -4.5 (-105)
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Tuesday: