NBA Picks & Predictions: +EV Best Bets for Cavaliers vs. Pistons (Sunday)
Everyone wants to get in on the action for Game 7 in the Eastern Conference semifinals between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Detroit Pistons. If you’re looking to find some super valuable NBA picks for this game, check out the Market-Based EV page and consider some of its top picks for tonight’s game.
Follow along and consider using the Market Based EV tool to add even more bets for Sunday, May 17th.
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Sunday’s Best +EV NBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Evan Mobley Under 3.5 Assists (+120 at BetMGM)
- Fair Value: +113
- Market EV: +3%
Evan Mobley added just two assists on six potential assists in Game 6 against the Detroit Pistons. Ultimately, it was the first time in the entire series that he had fewer than four assists. But he’s had no more than six potential assists in two of his last three games. Mobley is trending down, and Game 7 should be a bit lower-scoring.
Meanwhile, you can add Mobley to go under 3.5 assists at +120 odds on BetMGM. The fair value is set at +113. That’s a 3% positive expected value play. The probability is still below 50%, but you’re getting a ton of value with this bet. Lock it in if you can.
Max Strus Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+145 at PartyCasino)
- Fair Value: +137
- Market EV: +3%
Max Strus has been firing from downtown lately. He’s attempted at least six three-pointers in every game but one against the Pistons in this series. He hasn’t shot the ball particularly well during this stretch, but he did come through with six three-pointers on the road against the Pistons in Game 5. He’ll be back in Detroit for Game 7 tonight.
That said, you can find Strus’ three-pointer prop at +145 odds on PartyCasino to nail at least three three-pointers. The true value is currently +137, giving this a solid market EV of 3%.
Daniss Jenkins Under 3.5 Assists (-105 at BetMGM)
- Fair Value: -110
- Market EV: +2%
Daniss Jenkins has earned four or more assists in just one game during this series. He’s finished with three assists in four consecutive games and has averaged about six potential assists a night over the last 10 games.
In his last 11 games against the Cavaliers, Jenkins has averaged 2.8 assists. Consider betting the under at -105 odds on BetMGM. The fair market is at -110, giving us a 2% positive expected value play.