NBA Picks & Predictions: +EV Best Bets for Saturday (10/31)
Happy Halloween! Let’s celebrate by adding some market-based +EV NBA picks. Take a look below, and let’s cash some bets.
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Saturday’s Best +EV NBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Jaden McDaniels Over 5.5 Rebounds (+133 at Novig)
- Fair Value: +115
- Market EV: +9%
Jaden McDaniels has grabbed at least six rebounds in six consecutive games. He’s hit this line in nine of his last 10 games dating back to last season and hasn’t missed it all year.
McDaniels has played at least 29 minutes in every game this season and has averaged nine rebound chances per game over the last five games.
Meanwhile, you can bet on McDaniels to grab at least six rebounds at +133 on NoVig. That’s a 9% positive expected value play. Consider this play. It’ll be one of the best you’ll find today.
Lauri Markkanen Over 22.5 Points (+119 at ProphetX)
- Fair Value: +105
- Market EV: +7%
Lauri Markkanen scored just two points against the Grizzlies in only six minutes. In the four games he’s played this season, Markkanen has only scored 23+ points once. But in his previous game while healthy, Markkanen totaled 28 points in 38 minutes against the Lakers. He also scored at least 23 points in 62% of games last season and averaged 26.7 points per game.
I’d imagine Markkanen will get more consistent offensively. You can bet on him to go over 22.5 points at +119 on ProphetX; the fair value is +105. This is another top pick (7% market EV). This is a good one.
Tyrese Maxey Over 4.5 Rebounds (+138 at Novig)
- Fair Value: +125
- Market EV: +6%
Tyrese Maxey has added at least five rebounds in two of his last three games. Other players may also miss tonight’s game as the Sixers are on a back-to-back. He’ll likely see close to 40 minutes of action, which should only help.
Maxey to add at least five rebounds is +138 on NoVig, but the fair value is +125 across the other sportsbooks. That makes this a 6% positive EV play. This is another one you won’t want to pass up.