NBA Picks & Predictions: +EV Best Bets for Tuesday (5/5)
There’s plenty of value for tonight’s two games in the NBA. I used the Market Based EV page to attack the board with my NBA picks and improve my betting portfolio.
Follow along and consider using the Market Based EV tool to add even more sports bets to your betting portfolio for Tuesday, May 5th.
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Tuesday’s Best +EV NBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Jaylon Tyson Under 2.5 Rebounds (+105 at BetMGM)
- Fair Value: -103
- Market EV: +4%
Jaylon Tyson earned nine rebounds against the Toronto Raptors in Game 7 of the first round. However, don’t expect that to continue against the Detroit Pistons. After all, he’s only hit this line in three out of seven games against the Pistons.
Over the last 10 games, Tyson averaged 5.4 rebound chances and recorded no more than four rebound chances in four of his last six games.
You can bet the under on Tyson’s rebound prop at +105 at BetMGM, while the fair value is currently -103. That’s a big play to start the night.
Isaiah Stewart Over 5.5 Points (+105 at BetMGM)
- Fair Value: +100
- Market EV: +2%
Isaiah Stewart has played no more than nine minutes in back-to-back games. However, in Game 7 against Orlando, he played eight minutes and had a usage rate of 18.5%. He didn’t score after only taking two shots. However, Stewart has still hit nearly 47% from the field over the last 10 games.
Stewart has averaged 7.8 points per game over the last 10 contests against the Cavaliers. He also hit this line in 78% of games this year. Let’s hope Stewart can get back on track. Bet the over at Bet MGM at +105. That’s the best price you’ll find.
LeBron James Under 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-125 at PartyCasino)
- Fair Value: -132
- Market EV: +2%
LeBron James has shot only 35.1% from downtown over the last 10 games. In Games 4 and 5 against the Rockets, he didn’t even hit one three-pointer. James has attempted about 4.6 threes per game over the last 10 games.
You can bet on the under at -125 at PartyCasino, even though the fair value is currently -132. That’s a 2% positive expected value play. It’s not a massive play, but if you continue to add these types of bets together, the results will accumulate.