NBA Player Props & Bets: Tuesday (3/10)
Tonight’s NBA slate is loaded with 11 games. That means there will be plenty of NBA player props to filter through. After looking through all the games and many player props, I’ve decided on my three favorites. Let’s get after it.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
Tuesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Jay Huff Over 13.5 Points (-128)
Jay Huff has added at least 14 points in four consecutive games. He’s only played about 25 minutes per game over the last 10. However, he has attempted at least six threes in three straight games and has taken about 10 shots per game over the last 10 games. In addition, Huff has shot over 50% from the field during that stretch. He’s also attempted at least 13 field goals in three straight games.
That said, Huff will battle a Kings team ranked dead last in points allowed to centers this season. The Kings also rank 29th in field goals made and free throws attempted. Huff should be a vocal point of the Pacers’ offense yet again, especially if the three-ball falls.
Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds (-130)
Bam Adebayo has recorded at least 11 rebounds in just 50% of his last 20 games. But what stands out the most is that Adebayo has averaged 11.6 rebounds in his last eight games against the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards rank dead last in total rebounds allowed to centers this season. They’re also weak on the offensive glass, giving Adebayo some hope he’ll be able to add some rebounds on both sides of the ball.
Ultimately, Adebayo has earned more than 15 rebound chances per game over the last 10 games. In his last two, he’s had more than 15 rebound chances. The momentum should continue against the Wizards, who are one of the worst rebounding teams against centers in the NBA.
Payton Pritchard Under 4.5 Assists (-140)
While Payton Pritchard has earned at least five assists in 63% of games this season, I’ve got him going under his prop line tonight. Pritchard has nailed this line in only one of his last four games against the Spurs.
It likely has to do with the Spurs being among the best in the NBA at limiting assists to point guards. This season, the Spurs rank first in the NBA in assists allowed to point guards. Pritchard has averaged about nine potential assists per game against the Spurs, but hasn’t had more than four in any of the last three games against the Spurs. San Antonio defends incredibly well, and that’ll hurt Pritchard’s chances of getting a high number of assists.
Pritchard has to rely on his teammates, and if they can’t get good looks, Pritchard’s assist numbers won’t rise much. Take his assists under to close out tonight’s props betting card.