NBA Player Props & Bets: Tuesday (4/14)
It’s time for some NBA postseason basketball. Tonight, the Miami Heat will take on the Charlotte Hornets in a huge No. 9 seed versus No. 10 seed battle in the Eastern Conference. After that, it’ll be the Portland Trail Blazers and Phoenix Suns competing for the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference. I’m so excited. Here are three NBA player props I’ll be riding with.
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Tuesday’s Best NBA Player Props
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Brandon Miller Over 20.5 Points (-114)
We’ll start the night off with one of the most underrated scorers in the NBA.
Brandon Miller has scored at least 21 points in five of his last 10 games, while averaging 31.5 minutes per game. He’s shot almost 46% from the field during that stretch, while hitting 36.5% from downtown.
Miller faces a Heat squad ranked dead last in three-pointers by small forwards this season. The Heat also ranks 28th in field-goal attempts and 23rd in points allowed to small forwards this year.
Miller has earned at least 21 points in two of his last three games against the Heat and should continue to produce strong outings against the Heat moving forward. Let’s take Miller to score at least 21 points in tonight’s showdown.
Kel’el Ware Under 8.5 Rebounds (-132)
Kel’el Ware has hit the under on this number in his last four games. He’s added just 11.4 rebound chances per game over the last 10 games.
Ware has nailed this line in just one of his last seven games against the Hornets. In those seven games, he’s averaged fewer than 14 rebound chances. Beyond that, he’s set to face a Hornets team ranked first in the NBA in total rebounds allowed to centers.
Ware has averaged just 7.6 rebounds per game over the last 10 games, hitting this line in only two of those ten games and in 35% of his last 20 games. This won’t be an easy matchup for Ware, who has struggled to hit this line recently.
Mark Williams Over 10.5 Points (-130)
Mark Williams has scored at least 11 points in three of the last four games. He’s attempted over seven shots per game over the last 10 and has shot 56.6% from the field during that stretch.
Tonight, Williams will battle a Trail Blazers team ranked 30th in field-goal attempts to centers this season. The Trail Blazers also rank 28th in points allowed to centers and 27th in field goals made by centers. Williams has scored at least 15 points in three of his last five games against Portland. His usage rate rose to 26% in each of the last two games against Portland.
Williams should be able to exploit the Trail Blazers down low in tonight’s matchup.