NBA Playoffs Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions: Monday (5/5)
Let’s prepare for tonight’s second-round matchups with a couple of same-game parlays (SGPs). I have a parlay for the Knicks-Celtics and Nuggets-Thunder games.
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Monday’s Best NBA Playoffs Same Game Parlays
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics
- Leg 1: Payton Pritchard Over 8.5 Points (-122)
- Leg 2: Kristaps Porzingis Under 6.5 Rebounds (+102)
- Leg 3: Jayson Tatum Under 9.5 Rebounds (-140)
Payton Pritchard has added at least nine points in 69% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in three of his last five games and seven of his last 10 games. He’s benefited while Jrue Holiday has been out of the lineup. While Holiday is expected to return from an injury tonight, Pritchard should still be able to take advantage of his 25+ minutes. He’s taking on a Knicks defense ranked 28th in points allowed to point guards this season. Meanwhile, Prichard has earned a 19.9% usage percentage over the last 10 games and has attempted nearly 11 shots per game in that span.
Kristaps Porzingis played 21 minutes for the Celtics in their final game against the Magic. In those minutes, he gained just two rebounds. In addition, he’s added at least seven rebounds in only one of his last five games and two of his last 10 games. Porzingis averaged 11 rebound chances in the previous 10 games. However, he’s had 11 or fewer rebound chances in three consecutive games. On the other hand, the Knicks have held centers to the lowest rebounding rate in the NBA this season.
The Knicks also ranked sixth in the NBA in rebounds to power forwards this season. Jayson Tatum has earned at least 10 rebounds in only four of his last 10 games. He’s also added at least 10 rebounds in only five of his previous 17 games against the Knicks. This season, Tatum finished with at least 10 rebounds in only 37% of games.
Parlay Odds: +436
Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Leg 1: Jalen Williams Over 21.5 Points (-114)
- Leg 2: Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 Points (-118)
- Leg 3: Luguentz Dort Under 4.5 Rebounds (-180)
Jalen Williams has been on fire in the playoffs. He scored at least 22 points in four of his last five games, including a 23-point game in his most recent matchup against Memphis. Williams will battle a Denver defense ranked 27th in the NBA in points allowed to shooting guards. The Nuggets also rank 23rd in three-point field goal percentage to shooting guards and have allowed the highest amount of field goal attempts per game to shooting guards this season. Williams should be able to take advantage. He’s playing a ton of minutes and has shot 53.3% over the last 10 games, while taking more than 18 shots per game.
Nikola Jokic doesn’t have it as easy. Jokic scored only 16 points in Denver’s Game 7 win over the Clippers. He’s also added at least 28 points in only two of his last 10 games. Additionally, he’s scored at least 28 points in only four of his previous 14 games against the Thunder. The Thunder rank sixth in the NBA in points allowed to centers this season. They’ve limited centers to the third-lowest field goals made per game this season.
Lastly, consider Luguentz Dort to go under 4.5 rebounds. He finished with two rebounds in his most recent game against the Grizzlies and has earned at least five rebounds in only four of his last 10 games. Dort has earned only 8.8 rebound chances per game in those 10 games. But that number could drop significantly against a Nuggets team that ranked first in the NBA in rebounds allowed to small forwards.
Parlay Odds: +408