NBA Playoffs Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions: Sunday (4/27)
We’re back with two more same-game parlays (SGPs) for the two later NBA playoff games on today’s slate. Let’s get after it.
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Sunday’s Best NBA Same Game Parlays
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Boston Celtics vs. Orlando Magic
- Leg 1: Cory Joseph Under 2.5 Assists (-174)
- Leg 2: Jayson Tatum Under 5.5 Assists (-102)
- Leg 3: Kristaps Porzingis Under 6.5 Rebounds (-114)
Cory Joseph has earned at least three assists in only 22% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in just two of his last five games and added just one assist in Game 3 of this series. Ultimately, the Celtics rank second in the NBA in assists allowed to point guards this season. Meanwhile, Joseph has had, at most, seven potential assists in a game. He’s giving his teammates a chance, but the Celtics are one of the best defenses in the NBA and don’t allow easy buckets.
On the other hand, Jayson Tatum has earned no more than four assists in each of his last two games against the Magic. He had only seven potential assists in Game 3, which was the lowest he’s had in over 10 games. Tatum has averaged about 12 potential assists per game over the last 10 games, but that wasn’t the case in his latest matchup. The Magic currently rank first in the NBA in assists allowed to power forwards and typically make it difficult on the defensive end. Let’s back Tatum to go under his assists total.
Finally, Kristaps Porzingis has tallied at least seven rebounds in only one of his last five games. He had 10 rebounds in Game 2, but has added no more than six in the other two games of this series. Porzingis is battling a Magic defense ranked second in the NBA in rebounds allowed to centers. In Game 3, Porzingis earned only nine potential rebounds. That was about three rebounds lower than his typical average over the last 10 games. Fade Porzingis and take his under in the rebounds category to close out this parlay.
Parlay Odds: +448
Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Leg 1: Kyle Kuzma Over 9.5 Points (-125)
- Leg 2: Bobby Portis Jr. Over 13.5 Points (-112)
- Leg 3: Bennedict Mathurin Over 2.5 Rebounds (-140)
Kyle Kuzma went scoreless in the first game of this series. However, he’s added at least nine points in back-to-back games for the Bucks. He’ll need at least 10 tonight, and that’s certainly attainable. Kuzma had a usage percentage of 23% in Game 3, which was the highest usage percentage he’s had in this series. He’s also taken at least nine shots in two consecutive games and has shot at least 44% in each of his last two games. Meanwhile, Indiana ranks 23rd in the NBA in points allowed to power forwards. Kuzma should stay consistent and add at least 10 points tonight.
Bobby Portis Jr. has been super inconsistent in this series - one game with 28 points and two games with no more than 10 points. Ultimately, he’s taking on a Pacers defense that, again, is weak against power forwards. The Pacers rank 28th in field goal percentage allowed to power forwards and 26th in field goals made. Portis, along with Kuzma, should capitalize on a pivotal Game 4 tonight.
Finally, consider Bennedict Mathurin to record at least three rebounds. He had three in Game 3 and has added at least three rebounds in 81% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in eight of his last 10 games and 73% of his last 15 matchups against the Bucks. Milwaukee ranks 28th in the NBA in rebounds allowed to small forwards. That’s enough for me.
Parlay Odds: +454
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Sunday: