NBA PrizePicks Player Predictions: Sunday (Nuggets vs. Thunder)

It’s the moment we’ve all been waiting for! The Denver Nuggets will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in a crucial Game 7 matchup in the second round of the NBA playoffs.

It’s win or go home.

Like every NBA PrizePicks article, we’ll give out four different player predictions you can use for a four-leg Power Play entry. A two-leg Power Play entry will give you implied odds of -137 for each prediction. A three-leg Power Play entry will give you implied odds of -141. A four-leg NBA PrizePicks Power Play entry will give you implied odds of -128 for each prediction.

Getting -128 on the same prediction is better than -137 or -141. Here are our top NBA PrizePicks player predictions for tonight’s action.

Remember that a Flex play can still win if one pick misses, but you’d get lower payouts.

Alex Caruso More Than 8.5 Points

Alex Caruso has earned at least 10 points in three consecutive games. He usually averages about 22 minutes a game. However, he’s played at least 24 in the last three games, scoring 10+ points in each. Plus, he’s attempted at least nine shots in two straight games. Caruso has also shot at least 40% in three consecutive games.

Meanwhile, the Nuggets rank 30th in field goals attempted by shooting guards and rank 27th in field goals made by shooting guards. They’re also 26th in points scored by shooting guards this season. Over the last 10 games, Caruso has averaged 9.1 points. He’s got a good matchup against the Nuggets and continues to play up to his potential. Take his more than.

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Nikola Jokic Less Than 29.5 Points

The Oklahoma City Thunder ranks 10th in points allowed to point guards. They’re not going to hold Nikola Jokic to a super low amount of points. However, Denver has still limited Jokic to no more than 29 points in four of the last five games. Jokic has multiple games of 42+ points in this series. But also games without even reaching 30.

In a Game 7 matchup, I expect the Thunder to make other players earn it over Jokic. With Aaron Gordon out, the Nuggets have fewer players to rely on, which is even more reason to try to take Jokic out of the game. Don’t forget, he’s had multiple games with no more than 20 points in this series, too.

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Jalen Williams Less Than 19.5 Points

Jalen Williams has not been great over the last three games. In Game 6, he finished with only six points when the Thunder needed him the most. He nailed just 3-0f-16 shots from the field and shot just 19%. Additionally, he’s shot below 20% in two of his last three games against the Nuggets and has gone 36% or worse from the field in three straight games.

The Nuggets are not elite at defending the shooting guard position, but as long as Williams stays cold from the field, it won’t matter. His usage isn’t going to get higher because the Thunder likely won’t trust him with the game on the line, especially given how he’s shot recently.

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Michael Porter Jr. Less Than 10.5 Points

Michael Porter Jr. played a little bit better in Game 6. He finished with 10 points in 29 minutes, going 4-of-9 from the field. Yet, his usage was still below 15% in Game 6. He nailed two of his five shots from three to help pad his stats a little bit. Porter has had three games in this series without even making a three-pointer.

Plus, the Thunder rank No. 1 in points allowed to small forwards and No. 1 in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed to small forwards. Porter isn’t playing well in this series, and there’s certainly a reason why. The Thunder defend the small forward position well, and I look forward to that continuing today.

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