NBA Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions: Monday (4/7)
We’ve got just two games on in the NBA tonight! While there’s a small amount of games, there’s still plenty of value.
I’ve added a same-game parlay for each NBA game tonight and discussed my process below.
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Monday’s Best NBA Same Game Parlays
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Sacramento Kings vs. Detroit Pistons
- Leg 1: Tim Hardaway Jr. Over 12.5 Points (-102)
- Leg 2: Keon Ellis Under 7.5 Points (-112)
- Leg 3: Domantas Sabonis Over 5.5 Assists (-128)
Tim Hardaway Jr. had a four-game 20+ point streak snap against the Memphis Grizzlies after he scored nine in his last game. Still, he’s added at least 20 points in four of his last five games and has played at least 30 minutes in five consecutive games. Hardaway will take on a Kings defense that ranks 20th in points per game allowed to shooting guards this season. The Kings also rank 27th in three-point percentage allowed to shooting guards and Hardaway Jr. has shot at least 56% from downtown in three of his last five games.
On the other hand, Keon Ellis of the Kings has scored at least eight points in just two of his last five games. He also added just five points against the Pistons back in December against the Pistons. Ultimately, the Pistons have limited shooting guards to 22 points per game, which ranks 10th-best in the NBA. Meanwhile, Ellis has shot just 41.2% from the field over the last ten games, despite shooting 50% or better in three of his last four games. Expect a decline from Ellis tonight.
Finally, Domantas Sabonis has recorded at least seven assists in three consecutive games. He’ll battle a Pistons defense that ranks 26th in assists allowed to centers this season. Ultimately, he’s added at least six assists in five straight games against the Pistons from 2021. He’s also had at least 11 potential assists in three consecutive games heading into this one. Take Sabonis to go Over in the assists category to finish out this parlay.
Parlay Odds: +497
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat
- Leg 1: Lonnie Walker IV Under 12.5 Points (-130)
- Leg 2: Alec Burks Over 2.5 Rebounds (+102)
- Leg 3: Tyler Herro Over 2.5 Threes (-125)
Lonnie Walker IV doesn’t have the most exciting matchup tonight. He’ll face a Heat defense that ranks fourth in the NBA in points allowed to shooting guards this season. The Heat have also limited shooting guards to just 7.8 field goals made per game this season. Beyond that, shooting guards aren’t getting to the foul line at a very high pace against the Heat, either. Ultimately, Lonnie Walker IV has shot just 39% from the field over the last ten games. You’d have to figure he’ll shoot just as poorly against the Heat.
Conversly, Alec Burks just added five rebounds in his latest game against the Milwaukee Bucks. Burks should be able to ride that momentum against a Philadelphia team that ranks 23rd in the NBA in rebounds allowed to shooting guards. Burks has had at least three rebound chances in each of his last five games. He’s also had at least four rebound chances in three of his last five games. Against the 76ers, four or five rebound chances should be enough.
Lastly, Tyler Herro has earned at least three three-pointers in 66% of games this season. He’s also hit this line in three of his last five games and five of his last ten games. The 76ers also rank 22nd in three-pointers made to shooting guards and are below average in three-point percentage allowed to shooting guards. That said, Herro has drained nearly 39% from three over the last ten games and has attempted nearly six threes per game in that span. Take his Over.
Parlay Odds: +452