NBA Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions: Thursday (4/3)
It’s not the biggest slate, but there’s still some value on the board for tonight’s six-game slate. I added same-game parlays (SGPs) for the two matchups slated for TNT tonight. Tap in below.
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Thursday’s Best NBA Same Game Parlays
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat
- Leg 1: Bam Adebayo Under 4.5 Assists (-106)
- Leg 2: Zach Edey Under 9.5 Rebounds (-152)
- Leg 3: Desmond Bane Under 5.5 Rebounds (-146)
Bam Adebayo has added at least five assists in three straight games. However, he’s still only hit this line in 45% of games this season. He’s also added at least five assists in just one of his last five head-to-head games against the Grizzlies dating back to 2022. Ultimately, the Grizzlies rank seventh in the NBA in assists allowed to centers this season. Adebayo has earned three or fewer assists in three out of five games against the Grizzlies. It all makes sense when you look at Miami’s assist numbers to centers.
On the other hand, Zach Edey has added at least 10 rebounds in just two of his last 10 games. However, he’s coming off a 16-rebound performance against the Warriors, so his line is juiced a bit. Ultimately, he finished with only eight against the Heat back on March 15th. He’s also facing a Heat team ranked 14th in rebounds allowed to centers this season.
Finally, Desmond Bane hasn’t earned more than five rebounds in any of his last six games. He also hasn’t even earned more than 10 rebound chances per game over the last six games. Bane had been earning 14 or 15 rebound chances consistently before this drought. Don’t expect him to get back to that, at least tonight, going up against a Heat defense that ranks 13th in rebounds allowed to shooting guards.
Parlay Odds: +436
Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers
- Leg 1: Dorian Finney-Smith Over 8.5 Points (-108)
- Leg 2: Rui Hachimura Over 11.5 Points (+102)
- Leg 3: Moses Moody Under 3.5 Rebounds (-180)
Dorian Finney-Smith is becoming a legitimate scoring weapon for the Lakers. He just added 20 points against the Houston Rockets on March 31st and has now scored at least nine points in seven of his last 10 games. Ultimately, he’s added at least nine points in 62% of games against the Warriors since 2022. He’s also played more than 30 minutes in five straight games while attempting nearly eight shots per game over the last 10 games. The Warriors rank 27th in points allowed to power forwards this season. That should help Finney-Smith tonight.
Meanwhile, Rui Hachimura has contributed at least 12 points in five of his last 10 games. He’s another power forward who should be able to take advantage of Golden State’s poor defense against that position. Hachimura has shot over 48% from the field over the last 10 games. He’s also taken 18 free throws in his last two games combined. Against the Warriors, Hachimura figures to continue to get his opportunities at the foul line. The Warriors rank 27th in free throws made to power forwards this season.
Lastly, take a chance with Moses Moody to go under 3.5 rebounds. He’s earned at least four rebounds in just four of his last 10 games. He’s also hit this line in 27% of games this season and only 38% of head-to-head matchups against the Lakers. Los Angeles ranks eigth in the NBA in rebounds allowed to shooting guards. That stands out.
Parlay Odds: +464
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday: