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New York Giants at Chicago Bears Odds & Game Pick

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This NFC battle features two teams that have widely disappointed this season. The New York Giants enter this game on a six-game losing streak, while the Chicago Bears have lost the faith of fans due to incompetence from both the coaching staff and their quarterback, in which they invested heavily in. Something positive has to happen in this game for one of these teams, so let’s take a look at who has the best chance Sunday.

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Giants vs Bears Odds and Info

All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.

  • Opening Lines: CHI -6.5, O/U 41.0
  • Moneyline: NYG (+235) | CHI (-280)
  • Spread: NYG +6.5 (-110) | CHI -6.5 (-110)
  • Total: 40.5 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)
  • Location: Soldier Field — Chicago, IL
  • Start Time: 1 pm ET
  • Coverage: FOX

Injuries

  • New York Giants: TE Evan Engram (D), TE Rhett Ellison (D), CB Janoris Jenkins (Q), WR Sterling Shepard (P)
  • Chicago Bears: TE Adam Shaheen (Q), LB Danny Trevathan (Q), LB Isaiah Irving (Q)

View consensus picks from 100+ experts for the Giants at Bears >>

Overview

The Chicago Bears are coming off a rough loss on Sunday Night Football against the Rams, where Mitch Trubisky was pulled late due to a supposed hip injury. Apparently he heals incredibly fast since he practiced in full on Wednesday and looks good to go for this game, whether Bears fans like it or not. This Chicago offense has been stagnant and lacking creativity this season, averaging only 262.7 yards per game, which is the third-worst in the league. Much of this stems from Trubisky’s play and Matt Nagy’s inability to put players in position to succeed, but the running game has also failed, with the Bears averaging the fourth-fewest rushing yards per game (79.9). Defensively, they are still a very good unit, but they have taken a step back from last season. They rank fourth in scoring defense (17.4) and eighth in yards allowed (322.9), showing they can be exposed.

The Giants have shown signs of life in recent weeks, but they have been unable to play four full quarters and get the win. While the Giants drafted a quarterback high and have a few talented pass catchers, this offense still starts and ends with running back Saquon Barkley. He has missed a couple games with injuries this season, and he did not look healthy his last time out, where he carried the ball 13 times for just a single yard. For the Giants to have any chance against Chicago, Saquon needs to be more effective . Defensively, they have the third-worst scoring defense (28.9) and have the worst-graded cornerback group, according to Pro Football Focus. This opens the door for any quarterback to have a competent day against them, even Trubisky.

Trends

  • The Giants are 5-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last five road games against the Giants.
  • The total has hit the over in the last five road games for the Giants.
  • The total has hit the under in seven of Chicago’s last eight home games.
  • The total has hit the under in four of Chicago’s last five games.
  • The Bears lead the all-time series with the Giants, 33-24-2.
  • Last Meeting: December 2, 2018 — The Giants defeated the Bears, 30-27, at MetLife Stadium.

Prop Bet

All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Winning Margin (4-Way): Chicago Bears by 1-13 Pts (+135)
The difference in this game will be the defense of the Chicago Bears and the health of the New York Giants. Tight end Evan Engram has been downgraded to doubtful for the Giants, which eliminates a matchup advantage for their offense. Running back Saquon Barkley expects to play without any restrictions, but the same was said last game when he totaled one yard on 13 carries. The Bears’ defense will be able to slow him and rookie quarterback Daniel Jones enough for the offense to put up points against this struggling Giants’ defense. However, it’s unlikely the Bears blow them out, with the current state of their offense.

Bottom Line

Both of these teams are just bad, but the best unit in the game is the Chicago defense, and I expect them to show up at home. They have averaged just 16.4 points allowed at home this season, holding four of five opponents under 20 points. The under hit in four of those five games. The Giants’ defense is not very good, but coming off a bye week, they should have a solid enough game plan to slow down Mitch Trubisky, forcing a couple turnovers and turning this game into a field goal battle, which naturally should lead to at least one miss from Chicago’s side.

Pick: Under 40.5

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Check out our other NFL Sports Betting Guides for Week 12

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (+6.5)
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills (-3.5)
Detroit Lions at Washington (+3.5)
Oakland Raiders at New York Jets (+3)
Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns (-10.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-3.5)
Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles (-1)
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-10)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-3.5)
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots (-6)
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-3)
Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Rams (+3.5)

Zach Brunner is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Zach, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyFlurry.