NFL Betting Trends: Home Favorites
It’s certainly never a bad idea to back home favorites in the NFL. So far this season, home favorites have won 71% of the time straight up and have won against the spread in more than 51% of games. Below, I’ll share a premium betting system that has proven success by picking home favorites on the moneyline and against the spread.
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Performance Of Home Favorites
As of today, December 3, home favorites have won 79 games and lost only 32. Home favorites have won 71% of the time. That’s almost every three or four games that home favorites have won outright.
In addition, against the spread, home favorites are 56-53-2, winning 51% of the time.
Home favorites avoid having to travel, can play in the time zone they’re used to, and don’t have to worry about short-week logistical issues. They’ve got the home crowd going early, which helps add defensive pressure and early efficiency.
Meanwhile, many bettors will just bet on elite teams and not even check if the team is home or away. Some home teams are “mid”- favored compared to their opponents. But at home, the sportsbooks will have the “mid” team slightly favored.
Ultimately, this isn’t an auto-bet. If you’re looking for home favorites, consider non-divisional games. Don’t look for spreads in the double-digits or games on a short week being played on Thursday, for example.
BettingPros System Trend
High Vig Favorites Moneyline at Home
The “High Vig Favorites Moneyline at Home” trend has delivered a 2.68% ROI across 37 total bets in the last 12 months. The average moneyline line was about -170, and the record for moneyline favorites has been 22-12-3 in this system (last 12 months). Ultimately, in this system, the team has to be -200 to -150 and play at home.
Other home-favorite trends include using profitable betting systems. You can surf through a bunch of systems and find the one that makes the most sense to you. Toggle through the data and information and get in on the action!
After all, betting on home favorites is one of the strongest long-term profitable strategies in the game, as long as you do it right. While you might win 71% of the time betting on home favorites, many home favorites have odds of -400 or greater. With the BettingPros systems, you’re able to condense the home favorites so that you can find reasonable odds and still profit long term. Check out this featured system and see this week’s picks.
Give it a try and let us know how you do!