NFL Futures: 5 Win Totals Bets the Experts Love

Sportsbooks are gearing up for the start of the NFL season with their ever-popular win totals for all 32 teams – and some have produced unanimous results from our team of analysts.

Dan Harris, Mike Tagliere, Bobby Sylvester, Kyle Yates and Mike Spector have provided their picks for every NFL win totals play (odds courtesy FanDuel Sportsbook). The result: 8 stone-cold locks that bettors would be wise to consider. Here’s the complete list of the unanimous plays:

Check out our complete team-by-team list of 2020 win totals here >>

TEAM	WIN TOTAL	HARRIS	TAGS	BOBBY	YATES	SPECTOR
Buffalo Bills	8.5 (O -145, U +125)	OVER	OVER	OVER	OVER	OVER
Jacksonville Jaguars	5 (O +125, U -145)	UNDER	UNDER	UNDER	UNDER	UNDER
New Orleans Saints	10.5 (O +100, U -120)	OVER	OVER	OVER	OVER	OVER
Carolina Panthers	5.5 (O -130, U +110)	UNDER	UNDER	UNDER	UNDER	UNDER
Seattle Seahawks	9.5 (O +130, U -155)	OVER	OVER	OVER	OVER	OVER

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Buffalo Bills OVER 8.5 wins (-145): The over on 8.5 wins for the Bills is juiced at -145, so there’s obviously some action on the over, and it’s justifiable. The Bills added Stefon Diggs this offseason, giving them a potent offensive weapon, and have replaced Frank Gore with Zack Moss. Yes, they lost some key pieces on defense, including Shaq Lawson and Jordan Phillips, but they also added Mario Addison, A.J. Klein, and E.J. Gaines. In short, with another year of growth from Josh Allen, there’s little reason to expect the Bills to get worse after finishing last year 10-6. Meanwhile, the Patriots lost Tom Brady and look little like the team that has won 11 straight division titles. And although the Jets and the Dolphins have improved, the atypical offseason will prevent their key additions from developing chemistry. In other words, the Bills should be able to win the majority of their division games, and do enough elsewhere to reach nine wins.
– Dan Harris (@danharris80)

Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 5 wins (-145): In 2019, there were four NFL teams with fewer than 5 wins. In 2018 we also saw 4, 2017 gave us 4, 2016 had 5 and 2015 provided another 4. That is is a steady data point if I’ve ever seen one, and while the Jags aren’t considered a lock for the #1 overall pick, they are the easy favorite which clearly means that they are considered by every single person to be among the four worst teams. Sure, Gardner Minshew could potentially break out from a fantasy perspective thanks to his rushing ability and near-certain game scripts but with a subpar offensive line, lackluster skill weapons and a truly horrendous defense, it is difficult to fathom them picking outside of the top four picks.
– Bobby Sylvester (@bobbyfantasypro)

New Orleans Saints OVER 10.5 wins (+100): There isn’t a more complete team in the NFL, period. Not only did they have Drew Brees return for one last hurrah, they also signed Jameis Winston to give them a well above average backup. They snagged veteran receiver Emmanuel Sanders in free agency, then added Malcolm Jenkins to an already potent defense. Jenkins will walk onto the team to shore up their safety unit, allowing Chauncey Gardner-Johnson to move into the slot, a position that’s been a weakness for them. It’s incredibly hard to find a team in the NFL with zero holes, but if there is one, it’s the Saints. They’ll win 11 or more games.
– Mike Tagliere (@MikeTagliereNFL)

Carolina Panthers UNDER 5.5 wins (+110): The Carolina Panthers have had a rough offseason. While they’ve made smart and savvy moves to build for the long-term, they saw some key players leave town for various reasons. Cam Newton was released, Greg Olsen was also released, and Luke Kuechly retired. In addition, this defense saw some other key pieces leave town, particularly on the defensive line…Matt Rhule is going to take a long-term approach to rebuilding this team and this team lacks proven, top-end talent on either side of the ball. While I like how the Panthers are rebuilding their roster, they are simply too young and have too many holes on defense to compete in this division. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Panthers hold the No. 1 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, which indicates that this line is too high at 5.5 wins. Take the under.
– Kyle Yates (@KyleYNFL)

Seattle Seahawks OVER 9.5 wins (+130): With COVID-19 likely affecting off-season preparation and team workouts, teams with veteran quarterbacks and coaching staffs that remained intact from last year figure to have an advantage over teams with younger players or new coaches trying to implement new schemes. Seattle checks both of these boxes. For the Seahawks to fail to surpass their projected win total, they need to be two wins worse than last year. Outside of trips to Buffalo and Philadelphia, Seattle gets many of their toughest non-divisional opponents at home. With the leg up that Seattle has with veteran players and coaches in a compromised off-season, bet the over 9.5 wins.
– Mike Spector (@MikeSpector01)

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