NFL Same Game Parlay Picks & Predictions: Super Bowl LVII (Eagles)
After rolling through the Giants and (shorthanded) 49ers in the playoffs, the Philadelphia Eagles come into the Super Bowl as 1.5-point favorites over the Kansas City Chiefs. Behind their exceptional defense and Jalen Hurts’ stellar play, they’ve positioned themselves well to win a second Super Bowl title in five years.
I expect the Eagles to play well and win the big game on Sunday. I’ll be playing this three-leg parlay on DraftKings on Super Bowl Sunday and rooting for the Eagles to take home a title.
Last Week SGP Record: 0-2, -2u
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NFL Same Game Parlay: Super Bowl LVII (Eagles)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Leg 1: Eagles ML (-125)
As I mentioned, I think the Eagles come out ahead on Sunday night. It should be a tightly-contested game, but the Eagles are arguably better at every position on the field except QB and TE (and even those positions aren’t lacking). Their defense thrives on making opponents one-dimensional. Even if that dimension is Patrick Mahomes, the Eagles can disadvantage the Chiefs by forcing them to keep the ball in the air and off the ground.
To neutralize the Chiefs’ run threat and force them to throw, I expect the Eagles to play aggressively early and often. They followed this model against the 49ers last week, going for an early fourth down and calling bold pass plays to stake an early lead before Brock Purdy was forced to leave the game.
The Chiefs should keep things close – I’d never bet on Mahomes being blown out – but I think the Eagles have what it takes to get up early and hold their lead late. I like Philly ML, given the reasonable price of -125.
Leg 2: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (+105)
I’ve bet Jalen Hurts Anytime TD in the majority of Eagles games this year, and it’s been a very profitable play over the course of the season. Hurts has scored on the ground in seven of his last nine games, including both of the Eagles’ postseason wins. Hurts has now eclipsed 50 red zone carries on the season (including playoffs). This is a high total for an RB but an unheard-of amount of carries for a QB.
As the Eagles’ main red zone rushing threat, in a game that should be high scoring – with a total of 51.5 – I love the Hurts Anytime TD play at plus-money. This is, of course, also correlated with the Eagles’ ML outcome, making this a great leg to add to this parlay.
Leg 3: Kenneth Gainwell 3+ Catches (+160)
The Chiefs have the worst defense in the NFL at stopping opposing RBs in the passing game, and I expect the Eagles to exploit this on Sunday. Through the regular season and postseason, the Chiefs have allowed 6.2 receptions per game to opposing RBs – the highest mark in the NFL. They’ve allowed 10 catches on 12 targets to opposing RBs so far in the postseason.
While Miles Sanders should lead the Eagles in snaps, Kenneth Gainwell is the more intriguing bet as a receiver. Gainwell has 10 catches on 12 targets over his last five games, compared to just two catches on three targets for Sanders in that stretch. Three catches would be Gainwell’s highest mark since Week 16, but this is a great way to get exposure to a weakness in the Chiefs’ defense.
Parlay Odds: +750 (1u to win 7.5u)
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