NFL Same Game Parlays Odds, Picks & Predictions (Week 18)

by Jason Radowitz |
Jan 06, 2024

We’re headed to Week 18 of the NFL season!

With that, many starters are sitting out while other teams will be fighting for a playoff spot. Some teams have a lot at stake, while others are patiently waiting for the playoffs.

After reviewing all that information, let’s put together a same-game parlay for each Sunday matchup in the NFL.

Best NFL Week 18 Same Game Parlay Bets

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers

Leg 1: Buccaneers -4.5 (-105)
Leg 2: Mike Evans Anytime TD (+110)
Leg 3: Rachaad White 72.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers can clinch the NFC South with a road win against a two-win Panthers team. Carolina has played better recently, but I expect the Buccaneers to be more aggressive early in this one. Against the Saints last week, the Buccaneers weren’t aggressive until it was too late and ended up losing that game. That will change against the Panthers.

Baker Mayfield has thrown 28 passing touchdowns, with 13 of those to Mike Evans. Therefore, I like Evans’ chances at an early touchdown against the Panthers. He’s scored a touchdown in nearly 70% of games this season.

Rachaad White has at least 89 rushing yards in three of his last six games. He’ll take on a Carolina defense that hasn’t always been terrible against the run. However, the Panthers have struggled more against the run due to poor tackling. White should end up with 20+ carries in this one.

Parlay Odds: +403

Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals

Leg 1: Bengals -6.5 (-136)
Leg 2: Joe Mixon Anytime Touchdown (-120)
Leg 3: Ja’Marr Chase Anytime Touchdown (+170)

The Cleveland Browns will be sitting many starters for Sunday’s game against the Bengals. Meanwhile, the Bengals are already out of the playoffs and aren’t playing for anything. Still, Joe Mixon and Ja’Marr Chase will be the lead guys on the Cincinnati offense behind Jake Browning at quarterback.

Mixon has added a touchdown in four of his last five games and should have plenty of opportunity at home against the Browns’ backups.

With Tee Higgins also out for the Bengals with a hamstring injury, Ja’Marr Chase figures to see many reps for the Bengals in the passing game. Chase led the Bengals with nearly 1,200 yards and seven touchdowns receiving this season. He’s four catches away from 100 on the season.

Parlay Odds: +555

Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions

Leg 1: Vikings +3.5 (-110)
Leg 2: Over 46.5 (-105)
Leg 3: Nick Mullens Over 265.5 Passing Yards (-113)

The Lions clinched the NFC North, but Dan Campbell insists he’ll begin the game with his starters in Week 18. Some believe it’s best to give players a rest before the playoffs, while others believe rust is real and don’t want to play around with a player’s rhythm.

I’m still going to stay far away from the Lions.

Minnesota started Jaren Hall last week, and things went south really fast. But with Nick Mullens under center, the Vikings have a fighting chance.

Mullens threw for 411 yards against the Lions on December 24 in a 30-24 loss. He threw four interceptions but still completed 61.1% of passes in that game.

I think the Vikings will keep this game close against the Lions and also believe we’ll get enough points to reach the Over 46.5, just like last time.

Parlay Odds: +363

New York Jets @ New England Patriots

Leg 1: Patriots -1.5 (-110)
Leg 2: Over 30.5 (-106)
Leg 3: Ezekiel Elliott (+140)

The Jets haven’t been the Patriots in 15 straight games. Don’t expect New York, in Week 18, after allowing at least 28 points in each of its last three games, to beat the Patriots in Week 18.

Meanwhile, New England’s offense has improved under Bailey Zappe. The Patriots have scored at least 17 points in four straight games. They also earned two wins over the last four games, bringing their record to 4-12.

New England has been oddly bad at home. But in a matchup against Trevor Siemian and the Jets, look for the Patriots to escape with the better quarterback under center.

Also, with Rhamondre Steveson still out with an injury, Ezekiel Elliott will get the start at running back again. He hasn’t earned a heavy amount of yards per rush. Still, he scored a touchdown in the last two games. If Zappe can get the offense down to the red zone, Elliott can find a way into the endzone.

Parlay Odds: +410

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints

Leg 1: Saints -3 (-110)
Leg 2: Bijan Robinson Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
Leg 3: Derek Carr Over 231.5 Passing Yards (-113)

There won’t be anyone sitting in this NFC South showdown between the Falcons and Saints.

These two defenses are very opposite. The Saints have a dominant secondary, while the Falcons have ultimately been better against the run.

But overall, the Saints have a healthy quarterback and reliable receivers that are used more consistently. The Saints will escape at home. However, we’ll exploit each defense’s weakness.

The Saints are weak against the run, allowing 122.5 yards per game. We’ll grab Bijan Robinson to earn at least 59 rushing yards. On the other hand, the Falcons have allowed over 200 yards per game in the air. It’s likely Derek Carr earns some big plays down the field. We’ll grab his Over 231.5 passing yards.

Parlay Odds: +551

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans

Leg 1: Titans +3.5 (-110)
Leg 2: Under 41.5 (-115)
Leg 3: Derrick Henry Anytime Touchdown (-160)

Jacksonville is still fighting for a playoff spot in the AFC. At this time, Trevor Lawrence is questionable with a right shoulder injury, but it’s more likely that he will play in this game.

However, we’ve got to pick at least one team to spoil another team’s chance at the playoffs. I think that’s the Titans. The Titans at +3.5 makes sense. Tennessee’s been weak on defense throughout the season. But the pass rush is good enough to create some havoc against an injured quarterback.

On the other hand, Jacksonville’s secondary is playing at a high level. They’ll at least limit big plays down the field in the passing game. It’s also likely that the Titans choose to run the ball with Ryan Tannehill still at quarterback.

There won’t be many touchdowns in this game. But if I like the Titans to win and run the ball, I also like Derrick Henry to run one in for a touchdown.

Parlay Odds: +562

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals

Leg 1: Seahawks -3 (-110)
Leg 2: Over 47.5 (-110)
Leg 3: Geno Smith Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+130)

The Seattle Seahawks can still make the playoffs in a few scenarios. They’ll be playing all of their starters for this game against the Cardinals.

While Seattle will be locked in, the Arizona Cardinals will look to play spoiler for the second straight week. The offense between Kyler Murray and James Conner is good enough to beat many defenses in the NFL this year. That duo didn’t play together until the season was already out of reach.

I like the Seahawks and Cardinals to both find the endzone many times, but I think the Seahawks escape with a win. In Geno Smith’s last two games, he’s thrown three touchdowns and no interceptions on 69 passing attempts. He’s also completed nearly 70% of his throws. A couple more of those throws will be in the endzone against Arizona’s secondary.

Parlay Odds +298

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers

Leg 1: Bears +3 (-118)
Leg 2: Aaron Jones Over 64.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Leg 3: Justin Fields Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

The Green Bay Packers are also looking to make the playoffs. I think the Bears are so hot that they’ll remain hot in their final game of the season against the Packers.

Chicago has won four of their last five games and has scored at least 27 points in three of their previous four games. Meanwhile, the Packers are getting ready to fire Joe Barry as the defensive coordinator. Chicago’s improving, and Justin Fields wants to prove he’s the No. 1 guy for the quarterback job before the season ends.

Meanwhile, both defenses have been poor against the run. It doesn’t show in the box score for the Bears, but Chicago will allow many big plays in the run game. Aaron Jones is finally healthy and will have the green light, knowing A.J. Dillon is not playing in this game. Jones has seen 20+ rushing attempts in the last two games and has earned at least 120 rushing yards in both games.

On the other hand, Justin Fields leads the Bears in rushing yards with 630 on 116 carries. He’ll have plenty of chances to get down the field, with the Packers allowing 131.63 yards rushing this season.

Parlay Odds: +538

Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers

Leg 1: Chiefs +3.5 (-110)
Leg 2: Under 35.5 (-114)
Leg 3: Chargers Under 19.5 Team Total (-104)

The Chiefs won’t sit all of their regular starters. However, Patrick Mahomes and several other starters won’t get the chance to play in this game. It’ll be Blaine Gabbert instead of Mahomes. But at least Gabbert is a veteran thrower who has experience.

He’s still a better option than Ethan Stick of the Chargers. Stick has played in four games for the Chargers and has just three touchdowns on the season. He hasn’t even converted on a pass play more than 27 yards in the last two games.

With Los Angeles using an interim head coach and on a four-game losing streak, the Chiefs still look like the play in this game. The Kansas City defense has stepped up recently and should hold the Chargers to minimal production. After all, the Chargers added only nine points against the Broncos last week.

Parlay Odds: +235

Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders

Leg 1: Raiders -3 (-104)
Leg 2: Under 37.5 (-118)
Leg 3: Davante Adams Anytime Touchdown (+130)

The Las Vegas Raiders want to finish the regular season strong so that Antonio Pierce can remove the term interim from his head coaching job. Davante Adams and many other players have suggested they’d love to have Pierce as the head coach for the Raiders next year and beyond. Therefore, I fully expect the Raiders to be prepared for this matchup against the Broncos.

On the other hand, the Broncos benched Russell Wilson for Jarrett Stidham because the Broncos didn’t want to spend bonus money on Wilson. Stidham won in his season debut, but he only went 20-for-32 with one touchdown and no interceptions. His QBR of 31.3 wasn’t impressive.

While we haven’t heard about Davante Adams too much this season, he will still finish the season with over 1,100 yards (if he gets three receiving yards). He also had seven touchdowns. Denver’s secondary improved but was still one of the worst in the league. Take Adams to score a touchdown.

Parlay Odds: +644

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants

Leg 1: Eagles -4.5 (-112)
Leg 2: Over 41.5 (-115)
Leg 3: Eagles Over 23.5 Team Total (-118)

The Eagles are still playing for an NFC East title. Philadelphia typically has New York’s number. The last game was a bit odd when the Giants had an opportunity to tie the game late in the fourth quarter. However, the Eagles still found a way to win, dominating that entire first half on Christmas day.

Philadelphia should be aggressive. They should try and find their offense again before the playoffs. Philadelphia should ultimately want to find A.J. Brown and have him add a big game to his box score. I think that will eventually happen against the Giants.

We don’t know how long Philadelphia’s starters will play. But they’ll at least give it a go in the first half.

Parlay Odds: +227

Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers

Leg 1: 49ers -4 (-110)
Leg 2: 49ers Over 22.5 Team Total (-120)
Leg 3: Rams Under 18.5 Team Total (-110)

Ultimately, the 49ers should have more depth in this game. Neither team will start its starting quarterbacks, and both teams will keep some starters out of this game with the playoffs already reached.

But I like Sam Darnold’s potential over Carson Wentz. I think both offenses can put together solid drives behind their veteran quarterbacks. However, Darnold has been on the San Francisco roster all season. Wentz just arrived in Los Angeles about a month ago.

San Francisco’s still one of the best defenses in the NFL. They’ve got the right play-callers and scheme to hold the Rams.

Parlay Odds: +487

Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Commanders

Leg 1: Cowboys -13.5 (-104)
Leg 2: Over 46.5 (-112)
Leg 3: CeeDee Lamb Over 95.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

The Washington Commanders were the worst defense in the NFL this year. That won’t change against the Cowboys, who scored nearly 30 points per game this season.

Dallas added over 255.5 yards passing and another 111.81 yards on the ground this year.

With the Cowboys looking to lock up the NFC East, they’ll give it their all against a beat-up Washington club.

CeeDee Lamb has added a league-leading 122 catches for 1,651 yards and ten touchdowns. He just had 13 catches on 17 targets for 227 yards against the Lions. This connection is really starting to click late in the season. He’s averaged more than 17 yards a catch over his last 20. That would mean he needs about six catches on Sunday.

He’s added at least six catches in five straight games.

Parlay Odds: +419

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins

Leg 1: Bills -2.5 (-120)
Leg 2: Over 48.5 (-112)
Leg 3: Tua Tagovailoa Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-114)

Did we forget about when Buffalo added a 48-20 win over the Dolphins earlier in the year? Nothing much has changed since that game. If anything, the Dolphins have gotten worse, and the Bills have gotten better.

Miami can’t seem to defeat better opponents. It’s been an issue all year. The Dolphins gang up on bad teams and never show up against good teams.

We don’t even know if Raheem Mostert and Jaylen Waddle will play in this game against Buffalo. Meanwhile, Tua Tagovailoa has only thrown two or more touchdowns in two of his last six games. The Dolphins will want to limit mistakes and turnovers and rely on the run game to score some points.

Miami will put points on the board, but Buffalo will literally run up the score.

Parlay Odds: +530

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