NFL Week 11 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
Let’s take a look at our top NFL Week 11 same game parlay picks for each game on the afternoon slate this Sunday.
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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 11)
Chargers @ Packers
- Chargers ML (-165)
- Jordan Love 250+ Passing Yards (+160)
- Austin Ekeler 60+ Rush Yards (-115)
Both of these teams have had slightly disappointing seasons, but the Chargers' trajectory is more positive than the Packers. LA lost a thriller last week to the Lions, but has largely played well. They're 2-3 in their last 5 games, but every loss was a competitive game against a top-tier team (Cowboys, Chiefs, Lions). The Packers, on the other hand, have lost 5 out of 6 games and have been unable to finish games strong. I think the Chargers pull off a road win here.
The Chargers' biggest weakness is their pass defense. Opposing QBs are throwing for 316 yards per game against Los Angeles, the highest mark in the NFL by 30 yards per game. Jordan Love has thrown for over 225 yards in 3 straight games, and I think he can go over 250 yards on Sunday. I also think Austin Ekeler should put up a solid day on the ground – he's gotten at least 14 carries in every game he's played this year. Green Bay allows over 100 rushing yards per game to opposing RBs, and Ekeler should dominate the workload on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +455
Titans @ Jaguars
- Titans +7 (-115)
- Under 40.5 (-115)
- Christian Kirk 70+ Yards (+130)
Given some of the struggles the Jaguars' offense has had recently, doubling up on the underdog + under is a play I'm excited about in this game. The Jaguars have scored 37 points in their last 10 quarters of football, and Trevor Lawrence has looked pretty shaky over that stretch. I think Jacksonville should win this game, but I'll take 7 points with the Titans in a game between two division rivals that usually play each other pretty close. Tennessee hasn't allowed an opponent to score more than 24 point since Week 3.
While the Jaguars' offense has been sluggish, Christian Kirk has been putting up nice stat lines lately. Kirk has over 75 yards in 4 of his last 6 games, and the Titans are a bottom-five defense in the NFL in limiting opposing WR yardage. I expect Kirk to have a solid day, especially if the game is close enough that the Jaguars are still throwing late.
Parlay Odds: +600
Raiders @ Dolphins
- Raiders +13.5 (-110)
- De'Von Achane Any Time TD (+100)
- Davante Adams 6+ Receptions (-145)
Since firing Josh McDaniels, the Raiders have gone 2-0. While their wins were at home over the Giants and Jets, Las Vegas appears to have turned a corner. Miami, while having a great season, hasn't beaten any teams that are currently over .500. I think the Dolphins will win this game, but 13.5 is a lot of points to be giving the Raiders in this game.
De'Von Achane will be making his return from injury, and he had 5 TDs in the three games he played before getting hurt. I love Achane's odds to score on Sunday, and with such a large spread the Raiders can still cover even with a TD from him. I also love Davante Adams' chances of getting 6 catches. Adams hasn't put up his usual huge stat lines lately, but he has 39 targets in his last four games. With similar volume on Sunday, 6 catches is very doable.
Parlay Odds: +580
Cowboys @ Panthers
- Cowboys -10.5 (-110)
- Tony Pollard U2.5 Receptions (+100)
- Rico Dowdle 25+ Rush Yards (-130)
Dallas has been great against bad teams this year. They've won their last four games against sub-.500 teams by an average margin of 23.3 points. Carolina hasn't shown many signs of being competitive this year, and are coming off a loss to Tyson Bagent and the Bears. Even though the game is in Charlotte, I think the Cowboys will roll.
A big Cowboys win could mean a second-straight week with plenty of action for Rico Dowdle. Dowdle put up 79 rushing yards on 12 carries last week, and Carolina has one of the worst run defenses in the league. If Dowdle sees similar volume this week, 25 yards will be no problem. I also expect Tony Pollard to see minimal passing game work. Pollard has one total target in the Cowboys' last two wins, and probably won't see enough work to post 3+ catches on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +400
Cardinals @ Texans
- CJ Stroud 250+ Pass Yards (-170)
- James Conner U57.5 Rush Yards (-115)
- Trey McBride 50+ Rec Yards (-160)
CJ Stroud is on fire over the last couple weeks, throwing for a combined 826 yards and 6 TDs over the Texans' last two games – both wins. I expect Stroud to stay hot, and I'll bet the conservative 250+ yardage prop at -170.
When the Cardinals are on offense, I expect them to throw plenty in a game where they're a 6 point underdog. Trey McBride has been their primary target in the passing game, with 28 targets in his last three games. He's gone over 50 yards in three of his last five games, and I expect him to do it again on sunday. I expect James Conner to have a rough day, however. The Texans have the second-best defense in the league in terms of yards per carry. Conner doesn't have more than 16 carries in any of his last four games. I don't expect him to get enough volume to break 57.5 yards this week.
Parlay Odds: +360
Steelers @ Browns
- Steelers ML (+100)
- Under 32.5 (+100)
- Jaylen Warren 40+ Rush Yards (-115)
With Deshaun Watson out, Cleveland will be starting Dorian Thompson-Robionson at QB on Sunday. Thompson-Robinson has one start this year, a 28-3 loss to Baltimore. While Pittsburgh has struggled at times this year, they're 6-3 and have consistently been able to beat inferior teams. This is largely thanks to their defense, which hasn't allowed more than 20 points in any of their last five games. I think Pittsburgh will win, and their defense will play well enough to keep the game under the low total of 32.5.
Jaylen Warren could be in for a nice day as well. Cleveland's run defense is solid, but Warren will be taking over as the Steelers' starting RB this week. He should get plenty of carries, and given his nice efficiency over his last two games (7.3 yards per carry) he should be able to go over 40 yards on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +440
Giants @ Commanders
- Commanders -9.5 (-105)
- Sam Howell 250+ Pass Yards (-120)
- Brian Robinson Anytime TD (-115)
The Giants have been brutally bad in recent weeks. They've lost their last two games by a combined score of 79-23. Both games were started by Tommy DeVito, who has been unable to keep the offense moving in the limited time he's played this year. I think the Commanders should win big, and cover the 9.5 point spread at home.
Sam Howell has been very solid this year, and has thrown for at least 249 yards in each of his last four games. He should log another game at 250+ on Sunday against the Giants pass defense. Brian Robinson will have a good shot at the end zone if the Commanders offense is clicking on Sunday. Robinson has scored in 4 of his last 5 games, and I like the price on him to score again on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +400
Bears @ Lions
- Over 47.5 (-115)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 100+ Yards (+150)
- David Montgomery Anytime TD (-140)
Justin Fields will make his return from injury on Sunday, and the Bears' offense had started clicking when he got hurt a few weeks ago. Detroit has been on fire on offense as well, putting up 26+ points in three of their last five games. I think this game has a good shot at going over the 47.5 point total given the firepower on both these offenses.
A big game for the Lions' offense will mean big games for Amon-Ra St. Brown and David Montgomery. St. Brown has gone over 100 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 games. I love his chances of going over 100 yards again, and at +150 this is one of my favorite bets of the week. David Montgomery ceded some goal line work to Jahmyr Gibbs last week, but ended up scoring a TD anyway. Given how much Detroit runs the ball, and that Montgomery is the Lions' usual goal line RB, I like his odds of scoring at -140.
Parlay Odds: +515
Buccaneers @ 49ers
- 49ers -5.5 (-295)
- Chris Godwin 50+ Receiving Yards (-150)
- George Kittle 50+ Receiving Yards (+120)
After a few rocky games, the 49ers got back on track last week with a blowout win over the Jaguars. They should be able to get a win at home against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay has lost four of their last five games, and struggled on defense for most of that stretch. I'll take an alternate spread here to avoid the full 11.5 point line, but I do think the 49ers will win handily.
I expect big games out of both Chris Godwin and George Kittle. Kittle has seen plenty of vertical targets over the last three weeks, and has 67 or more yards in 4 of his last 5 games. Tampa Bay allows 58 receiving yards per game to opposing TEs, so this should be a good matchup for Kittle. Godwin has gone over 50 yards in 5 of his last 6 games, and the 49ers have a bottom-ten defense in yards allowed to opposing WRs. 50 yards is a very doable total for both of these stars.
Parlay Odds: +390
Seahawks @ Rams
- Seahawks ML (-110)
- Matthew Stafford 250+ Pass Yards (-145)
- Kenneth Walker 60+ Rush Yards (-145)
While Matthew Stafford is set to make his return on Sunday, I think the Seahawks will spoil it with a road victory. They've won three of their last four games, while the Rams are losers of three straight. Seattle needs this win to hang in the NFC West race, and I think they'll pull it off on the road.
Seattle's pass defense has struggled this year. They're in the bottom quarter of the league in terms of passing yards allowed to opposing QBs. If the Rams are down, Stafford will get plenty of opportunities to put up yardage. 250 is a conservative total that he can go over. On the flip side, if the Seahawks are up Kenneth Walker should get plenty of carries. Walker has gone over 60 yards in 6 of his last 7 games, and the Rams are a bottom-ten team in yards allowed per carry.
Parlay Odds: +320
Jets @ Bills
- Jets +7 (-105)
- Stefon Diggs U76.5 Rec Yards (-115)
- Josh Allen 1+ INT (-150)
With the way Buffalo has been playing recently, I'm surprised to see the Jets as 7 point underdogs. New York hasn't been too great themselves, but Buffalo has been playing sloppy football, and will have a new offensive coordinator making his debut this week. I think the Jets should stay in this game, and cover the 7 point spread.
If the Jets are going to hang around, it'll be due to their excellent pass defense. They allow just 102 receiving yards per game to opposing WRs, the lowest average in the league. Sauce Gardner will be lined up across from Stefon Diggs, and Diggs has put up 70 yards or fewer in three of his last four games. Josh Allen has thrown an INT in each of his last seven games, and the Jets have logged 9 INTs on the year. -150 is a great price for an Allen INT on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +415
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