NFL Week 12 Betting Systems Picks & Predictions (2024)
We’re headed to Week 12 of the NFL season. Some of these NFL betting systems have been red-hot all season. Therefore, I’m going to take advantage.
Here are three NFL betting systems plays you’ll want to consider for this week’s slate.
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Week 12 Best NFL Betting System Plays
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Rec Yds Over 65% This Season
This first system, called “Rec Yds Over 65% This Season,” has earned a 27.5% return on investment (ROI). In addition, it’s won 67.7% of the time over its last 1,025 wagers.
To fit the criteria, a player must have a cost between -150 to +200 and have added the over in at least 65% of games this season. In addition, the receiver must have earned the over in three of the last five and six of the previous 10 games.
Darius Slayton has done that.
Slayton has earned at least 28.5 receiving yards in 67% of games this year. He’s also hit the over in each of his last two games and is facing a Tampa Bay defense that ranks 27th in receiving yards allowed to wide receivers.
With Tommy DeVito under center, there’s likely more optimism in that receiver room. Plus, Malik Nabers hasn’t practiced due to injury. That should only help Slayton.
Pick: Darius Slayton Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
PassY under (4/5, 6/10)
This next system, called “PassY under (4/5, 6/10),” is exactly what it says it is.
This system looks for players who have gone under on their passing yards in at least four of the last five and at least six of the previous 10 games.
Anthony Richardson is one of three quarterbacks who fit the system inputs.
Richardson has added 202+ yards in just 30% of his last 10 games. He’s also hit this prop in only 43% of games this season. Plus, Richardson has been super inconsistent since coming into the league. He’s coming off a high, so it’s hard to imagine he will add another high against the Detroit Lions.
Pick: Anthony Richardson Under 201.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Rush Yards Under Away underdog
The “Rush Yards Under Away underdog” system has earned a 25.2% ROI on its last 93 bets.
This system looks for players to rush under their total as underdogs. In addition, the player must have hit the over in fewer than 42% of games and hit the prop in only two of the last five, four of the last 10, six of the last 15 and seven of the last 20. Most importantly, the player must be on the road in a regular-season game.
Will Levis fits the criteria for this play.
Levis has rushed for 23+ yards in only 43% of games this season. He’s also hit this prop in just one of his last five games. Ultimately, the system implies Tennessee will be trailing early and will throw most of the game. I agree with this.
Pick: Will Levis Under 22.5 Rushing Yards (-113)