NFL Week 14 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
The rest of Week 12 is upon us. Let’s take a look at our top same game parlay picks for each game on the afternoon slate this Sunday.
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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 14)
Rams @ Ravens
- Ravens -5.5 (-165)
- Matthew Stafford U203.5 Pass Yards (-115)
- Isaiah Likely 4+ Receptions (-110)
At 6-6, the Rams are better than most expected before the season and are squarely in the NFC playoff picture. However, this will be arguably their toughest test of the season. Baltimore is in the driver's seat for the top overall seed in the AFC, and has won 6 of their last 7 games. In a game that could be sloppy with rainy weather, I expect the Ravens to win at home. I'll take an alternate spread of 5.5 points, but I feel good about siding with Baltimore here.
Given the weather and the quality of the Ravens' defense, I expect a dud game from Matthew Stafford. Stafford his having a nice season, but the Ravens allow just 5.45 yards per attempt to opposing QBs – lowest in the NFL by a solid margin. With Puka Nacua dealing with an injury, bad weather, and an exceptional Ravens defense, I expect Stafford to stay under his 203.5 passing yards prop. I also expect a solid game out of Isaiah Likely – he hasn't really broken out with Mark Andrews' injured, but the Rams are a bottom-five defense against opposing TEs, and Likely should see plenty of targets on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +410
Panthers @ Saints
- Saints -2.5 (-195)
- Taysom Hill Any Time TD (+160)
- Alvin Kamara 60+ Rush Yards (-130)
Carolina has pretty clearly been the worst team in the NFL this season, and I think they'll struggle on the road in New Orleans this week. New Orleans has lost three straight games, but all three have come against solid competition. Most importantly, it appears Jameis Winston may be starting at QB for the Saints this week. Winston isn't a perfect QB, but the Saints are overdue to move on from Derek Carr and Jameis may bring some explosiveness to an offense that has struggled for most of the year.
Carolina has one of the worst rush defenses in the league, in terms of both yardage and TDs allowed. I think Alvin Kamara should be able to break 60 rushing yards, but I think Taysom Hill is a bit of a sneaky Any Time TD play this week. Hill scored last week, and should get red zone opportunities against the Panthers' bad rush defense this week.]
Parlay Odds: +430
Colts @ Bengals
- Bengals ML (-135)
- Zack Moss 70+ Rush Yards (-130)
- Ja'Marr Chase 6+ Receptions (-185)
If I had written this article before the Bengals' Monday Night win over Jacksonville, I would have probably picked Indianapolis to win this game. Given how good Jake Browning looked, however, I think the Bengals should be able to stay on track and win this one at home. Browning lit up a very solid Jaguars defense, and the Bengals have enough weapons around him to maintain a high level of play in Joe Burrow's absence. Given the Colts had their hands full with the Titans last week, I think Cincinnati should win this game.
I think Zack Moss could be in for a big day. The Bengals allow 4.55 yards per carry, the fifth-highest mark in the NFL. Moss has had some very good games this year, and with Jonathan Taylor out once again he should be in line for a big workload. Ja'Marr Chase should also easily top six receptions – Browning delivered some great passes last week, and Chase was clearly his favorite target with 11 catches on 12 targets.
Parlay Odds: +490
Jaguars @ Browns
- Jaguars +2.5 (-110)
- Travis Etienne Anytime TD (+140)
- Both Teams to Score 10+ Points (-230)
This is a tough game to forecast, as it's still TBD as to whether Trevor Lawrence is going to play on a hurt ankle. Either way, I think the Jaguars will win this game. If Lawrence plays, even hurt, they have a clear QB advantage over Joe Flacco and the Browns. And if CJ Beathard gets the start in Lawrence's place, he should be able to hold his own. Beathard played solid last week after Lawrence went down.
Either way, I think Lawrence's injury should make it more likely that Etienne gets in the end zone on Sunday, because it decreases the chances of a QB sneak near the goal line (whether that's to keep Lawrence's ankle safe, or because Beathard isn't as good at short-yardage sneaks as Lawrence). Even though there's supposed to be some bad weather for this game, I think both offenses should be able to put up 10 points, given the points about the Jaguars above and the Jaguars' defensive struggles lately.
Parlay Odds: +325
Buccaneers @ Falcons
- Falcons ML (-130)
- Desmond Ridder 200+ Pass Yards (+115)
- Drake London 4+ Receptions (-165)
Atlanta has won a couple straight games, and find themselves atop the NFC South with a 6-6 record. I think they'll stretch the win streak to three games at home on Sunday. Tampa Bay struggled to hold off the Panthers last week, and they'll be in for a much tougher test in Atlanta. The Buccaneers' biggest weakness is their pass defense – they allow 276 passing yards per game to opposing QBs, one of the worst marks in the NFL. For that reason, I think Desmond Ridder will have a solid game and crack 200 passing yards.
If Ridder does have a good game, Drake London is likely to be beneficiary. London has had up and down performance this year, but it's hard to picture Ridder breaking 200 yards without getting London involved.
Parlay Odds: +400
Lions @ Bears
- Bears +3 (+100)
- Justin Fields 60+ Rush Yards (-130)
- Amon-Ra St. Brown 8+ Receptions (+160)
This should be a very interesting game, and I believe it'll be one of the highest scoring games of the week. The Lions defense has struggled over the last few weeks, allowing 26 or more points to each of the Lions' last four opponents. One of those games came against Chicago, which the Lions barely won 31-26 with a late comeback. In Chicago, I think the Bears' offense will have a good game and be too much for Detroit to handle.
Justin Fields will have a chance at a big rushing game on Sunday – he's rushed for more than 100 yards in each of his last three games against the lions, and should be able to crack 60 yards without a problem. Amon-Ra St. Brown had a rare off game last week, but in the six prior games he posted 9.3 catches on 12.3 targets per game. If the Lions are trailing, he should be in line for plenty of targets.
Parlay Odds: +525
Texans @ Jets
- Jets +3.5
- Zach Wilson 200+ Pass Yards (+135)
- Noah Brown 40+ Receiving Yards (-120)
After the Tim Boyle experiment was a massive failure, the Jets have decided to go back to Zach Wilson. Wilson is not a good NFL QB, but he will definitely be an upgrade over the QB play the Jets have had in recent weeks. I think Wilson will play well enough to keep the Jets in this game, and put up at least 200 passing yards to keep up with CJ Stroud and the Texans' offense.
With no Tank Dell, and Nico Collins likely drawing coverage from Sauce Gardner, I think we could be in for a big Noah Brown game this week. Brown has had some really nice games this year, and 40 yards is a low bar for him to clear given the context.
Parlay Odds: +550
Seahawks @ 49ers
- 49ers -6.5 (-265)
- George Kittle Any time TD (+140)
- Brock Purdy 250+ Pass Yards (-190)
With Trent Williams and Deebo Samuel healthy, the 49ers look like the best team in football. They won handily in Philadelphia last week, and I expect them to roll this week against the struggling Seahawks. I'll take an alternate line, because the -13.5 standard line is steep enough that it open us up to a cover in garbage time, but Niners -6.5 is a safe bet.
George Kittle has been getting involved in the passing game plenty in recent weeks, and he's also posted 10 red zone targets this year. Seattle's defense has been shredded in recent weeks, and I like Kittle's odds of getting one or two more red zone targets this week. I also think Brock Purdy should have a nice game – he's been hot lately, and Seattle allowed a huge game from Dak Prescott last week.
Parlay Odds: +340
Vikings @ Raiders
- Raiders +3 (-115)
- Alexander Mattison O47.5 Rush Yards (-115)
- Justin Jefferson O5.5 Receptions (-160)
In a matchup between two teams that have been a bit confusing this year, I think the Raiders will pull off a win at home. Las Vegas is 2-1 against the spread under interim Head Coach Antonio Pierce, and the Vikings have struggled over their last two games after Josh Dobbs had a hot streak to start his Minnesota career.
I think Alexander Mattison could be in for a nice day – he's played well in recent weeks, and the Raiders' rush defense has struggled. However, my favorite prop in this game is Justin Jefferson O5.5 receptions. Jefferson hasn't gone under this total in any game he's played healthy this year, and I don't think he'd be playing this week if he didn't feel totally healthy. Expect Josh Dobbs to look his way a lot on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +505
Broncos @ Chargers
- Broncos ML (+130)
- Russell Wilson 225+ Pass Yards (+120)
- Austin Ekeler U46.5 Rush Yards (-115)
Given the Chargers' recent struggles, and the Broncos' recent success, it's hard to picture LA winning this game. The Chargers are effectively eliminated from the playoffs, while Denver is coming off a tough loss in Houston and hanging on for dear life to playoff hopes. If the Broncos hadn't lost the close game in Houston, they'd be riding a six-game win streak into this game. I think Russell Wilson will have a big day against the Chargers' poor pass defense, and deliver a win.
While the Broncos' season-long rush defense stats aren't pretty, they are skewed pretty heavily by early-season struggles. Denver's defense has been very solid in recent weeks. This, plus Ekeler's poor play recently (just 50 yards on 24 carries in his last two games) is a recipe for Ekeler to stay under 46.5 rush yards on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +550
Bills @ Chiefs
- Chiefs ML (-115)
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire Any Time TD (+145)
- Patrick Mahomes U270.5 Pass Yards (-115)
In what should be the best game of the main slate on Sunday, I like the Chiefs to win at home. Both these teams have struggled more than expected this year, but Buffalo's sloppiness, tough losses, and off-the-field distractions are too much for me to bet on them right now. Even when Mahomes isn't playing his best, the Chiefs are still very tough to beat at Arrowhead.
With Isiah Pacheco out, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is likely in for some goal-line work on Sunday. I like his odds of scoring given the price offered. I also think it may be a quiet game from Mahomes – he's gone under 270.5 pass yards in 4 of his past 5 games, and may not be throwing much if Kansas City is leading late.
Parlay Odds: +550
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