NFL Week 15 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
The rest of Week 15 is upon us. Let’s take a look at our top same game parlay picks for each game on the afternoon slate this Sunday.
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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 15)
Buccaneers @ Packers
- Over 42.5 (-115)
- Jordan Love 250+ Yards (-110)
- Rachaad White 70+ Rush Yards (-140)
In a game with big implications for the NFC playoff race, I expect both offenses to have big games. Tampa Bay has one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL, allowing over 280 pass yards per game to opposing QBs. Jordan Love has thrown for 267 pass yards or more in four of his past 5 games. It could be a big day for Love and the Packers passing game in a great matchup.
When the Bucs are on offense, Rachaad White has been the focal point. White has 84 or more rushing yards in each of his last three games. The Packers are a bottom-five rush defense, and I expect Tampa Bay to depend on White. Given the good matchups for both offenses, I expect this game to go over 42.5 points.
Parlay Odds: +420
Giants @ Saints
- Giants +5.5 (-110)
- Tommy DeVito 200+ Pass Yards (+160)
- Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-110)
This should be an interesting game, between two teams that have been going in opposite directions. The Giants have won three straight games, and find themselves in the thick of the NFC playoff race after a bad start to the year. The Saints, on the other hand, have lost 3 out of 4 with their only win coming at home against the Panthers. I think the Giants will be able to pull off a solid performance in New Orleans, and cover the 5.5 point spread.
If the Giants do hang around on Sunday, it'll be due to their offense, which has been playing well lately. Tommy DeVito has gone over 190 yards in 2 of his last 3 games, and I like his price of breaking 200 yards at +160. And if the Giants offense does well, Saquon Barkley has a great chance of getting in the end zone.
Parlay Odds: +530
Falcons @ Panthers
- Falcons ML (-160)
- Bryce Young U175.5 Pass Yards (-115)
- Bijan Robinson O65.5 Rush Yards (-115)
Carolina has struggled mightily this year, and I expect that to continue this week when the Falcons come to town. Carolina has lost six straight games, and are coming off a 22 point loss to New Orleans. Atlanta has been average this year, but average should be good enough to win in Carolina.
This could be a tough matchup for Bryce Young, as the Falcons tout a top-ten pass defense in terms of yards allowed. I think Young will go under his 175.5 passing yard prop. I also think Bijan Robinson could be in for a nice game – Robinson has posted 16 or more carries in 3 of his last 4 games, and the Panthers have a bottom-five rush defense.
Parlay Odds: +330
Texans @ Titans
- Texans +3.5 (-115)
- Noah Brown 40+ Rec Yards (-105)
- Dalton Schultz 25+ Rec Yards (-240)
While CJ Stroud missing this game with injury will be a big blow to the Texans' offense, I think Davis Mills will be able to lead them to a solid game. Tennessee has a bottom-ten pass defense, and Mills has played well in the past for Houston. While he's had turnover issues, he threw for nearly 3,200 yards and 17 TDs last season in 15 games.
Nico Collins is also out, meaning it could be a big day for Noah Brown and Dalton Schultz. Both Brown and Schultz have had solid target share this year, and they'll be by far the best two options Mills has in the passing game. And if the Texans offense can keep their head above water, I think they'll cover the 3.5 point spread on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +380
Jets @ Dolphins
- Jets +8.5 (-115)
- Breece Hall O43.5 Rush Yards (-115)
- Tua Tagovailoa U223.5 Pass Yards (-115)
This could be a low-scoring game, with Tyreek Hill questionable and the Jets' defense playing great lately. The Jets currently tout the second-best pass defense in the NFL, allowing opposing QBs to throw for just 185 yards per game. While Miami may win the game, I'll take Jets +8.5 in a game that could be low scoring, and I'll also fade Tua's passing props.
If the Jets do keep it close, I expect them to play a conservative game on offense. Breece Hall has been off lately, but I think he'll get enough opportunity to break 43.5 rush yards.
Parlay Odds: +590
Bears @ Browns
- Cole Kmet 4+ Receptions (-130)
- Joe Flacco 225+ Pass Yards (-115)
- Bears Race to 10 (+120)
This should be an interesting game, as the Bears have found themselves sneaking into the NFC playoff picture while Cleveland is hoping to solidify their place in the AFC Wild Card race. Chicago has won three of their last four games, and in two of their last three they've gotten off to hot starts. I think the Bears playing well early and forcing the Browns to catch up late is a good game script to bet on. For that reason, we're including both Bears Race to 10 and Flacco 225+ pass yards.
Cole Kmet 4+ receptions is also a great play. The Browns do have one of the best defenses in the NFL against opposing TEs, but Kmet has posted big lines in recent weeks. Since their bye, Kmet has posted 5+ receptions in 5 of 6 games. I'll jump on this line of 4+ receptions, and hope that Kmet's target share outweighs the Browns' great pass defense.
Parlay Odds: +525
Chiefs @ Patriots
- Patriots +8.5 (-115)
- Patrick Mahomes U247.5 Pass Yards (-115)
- Rashee Rice 6+ Receptions (-110)
While betting against the Chiefs' offense used to be a ridiculous notion, they've really struggled in recent weeks. Patrick Mahomes has gone under 247.5 pass yards in 4 of his last 6 games, and New England has a very solid pass defense. I think this could be a low-scoring game, and even if the Chiefs pull off a win I think it'll be a closer game than most would expect.
I think one member of the Chiefs who could have a good game is Rashee Rice. Rice is getting more involved in the Chiefs' offense each week. He's seen at least nine targets in each of the Chiefs' last three games, and hasn't posted fewer than seven catches in that stretch. Even if the Chiefs struggle offensively, Rice should see enough target share to post 6 catches.
Parlay Odds: +515
Commanders @ Rams
- Rams -6.5 (-110)
- O50.5 (-110)
- Puka Nacua O66.5 Rec Yards (-115)
This game has one of this highest totals of the week, thanks in large part the the Commanders' pass defense. Washington allows the fourth-most passing yards per game to opposing QBs, and the most receiving yards per game to opposing WRs. Given that the strength of the Rams' offense is their star WR tandem of Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, it could be a long day for the Commanders' defense. Sam Howell should be able to take advantage of the Rams' below-average pass defense and post some points as well, but I think the Rams cover this game while the Over hits.
Puka Nacua has gone over 66.5 yards in 3 of his last 4 games, and as mentioned before this is an exceptional matchup for him to do it again. I think Nacua will post a big yardage total in a big Rams win.
Parlay Odds: +470
49ers @ Cardinals
- 49ers -12.5 (-110)
- Christian McCaffery 2+ TDs (+160)
- Deebo Samuel 60+ Rec Yards (-130)
San Francisco is playing like the best team in the NFL right now, and I expect them to keep it rolling on Sunday. They've won five straight games, and each win has come by at least 12 points. Arizona has had some solid games lately, but San Francisco will win and should cover on Sunday.
Christian McCaffery is obviously the focal point of the 49ers offense, and has scored 2+ TDs in 4 of his last 10 games. Arizona's rush defense has struggled, and has allowed the second-most TDs in the NFL to opposing RBs. Deebo Samuel has also been hot, and has put up over 60 yards in his last four games. Both of their player props will round out a solid parlay here in a game that San Francisco should win handily.
Parlay Odds: +520
Cowboys @ Bills
- Cowboys ML (+110)
- Dak Prescott 2+ Pass TDs (-160)
- CeeDee Lamb Any Time TD (+100)
This is a very interesting matchup of two premier teams, but I think the Cowboys will pick up a win on the road. Dak Prescott has been a machine lately – he's vaulted himself to the top of the MVP conversation by throwing for 2 or more TDs in 7 straight games with only 2 total INTs in that stretch. The Bills do have a good pass defense, but I think Dallas will stay hot and pull off a win. Buffalo is a mistake-prone team, and Dallas is one of the best teams in the league at taking advantage of opponents' mistakes.
If Dak does throw for 2 TDs, I think there's a great chance that at least one goes to CeeDee Lamb. Lamb is in the midst of a career year, with 96 catches and 8 TDs through 13 games. he has also scored in five straight. In a scenario where Dak plays well and the Cowboys win, we should see a big stat line from CeeDee Lamb on Sunday.
Parlay Odds: +300
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