NFL Week 7 Early Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)
We’re looking for some positive EV bets for Week 7 of the NFL season. Although Week 6 hasn’t started yet, we’ll try to predict Week 6 outcomes and use those predictions to select Week 7 bets, hoping to add valuable bets to the portfolio.
Early NFL Week 7 Best Bets
All wagers are 1 unit | Odds courtesy of DraftKings
Tennessee Titans vs. Buffalo Bills
The Tennessee Titans continue to get sharp money heading into their Week 6 matchup against the Colts. If the Titans can hold on and defeat the Colts, they likely won’t be 8.5-point underdogs when the lines close, especially if the Jets knock off the Bills at home on Monday Night Football.
Ultimately, I predict the Titans will knock off the Colts, and the Jets will win over the Bills. If those scenarios play out, it’s unlikely the Titans will close as 8.5-point underdogs. The line should be at least a point. So, let’s grab the Titans at +8.5 on the road against a pretty overrated Bills team.
Bet: Titans +8.5 (-115)
Houston Texans vs. Green Bay Packers
What happens when the Packers get upset by the Cardinals, and the Texans take care of business against Drake Maye and the Patriots?
The Texans could become favorites despite being on the road against the Packers. So far, Jordan Love hasn’t thrown one game with at least a 60% completion percentage. The receiver core, minus Jayden Reed, really hasn’t stepped up, either. There’s drama with Romeo Doubs, and Christian Watson is hurt again. Meanwhile, Dontayvion Wicks isn’t grabbing contested balls. The Packers can find ways to win games, but it’ll be harder if this offense does not work as it should.
Meanwhile, the Texans just knocked off the Bills. Losing Nico Collins will hurt, but there are enough weapons in the receiver room for the Texans to overcome. They’ll dominate the Patriots, and that will be enough to make this game closer to a pick-em.
Bet: Texans (+112)
New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Jets made a silly decision to fire Robert Saleh mid-season in a win-or-bust year. Firing Saleh does nothing to help the offense improve, especially when moving the former defensive coordinator as head coach.
However, the X’s and O’s check out against the Bills. The Jets should finally find success running the football with Breece Hall again. If Aaron Rodgers can limit turnovers, New York will earn a home upset against the Bills.
Meanwhile, the Steelers have the Raiders on the road. A win doesn’t move the needle, but a loss certainly does. Plus, what if the Steelers decide to play Russell Wilson? Does that hurt their chances or help? I’d like to think it would hurt.
If the Jets earn a win on Monday Night Football, that moves the needle way more. Take the Jets at +100 against the Steelers before Week 6 even begins.
Bet: Jets (+100)