NFL Week 9 Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
Let’s take a look at our top NFL Week 9 same game parlay picks for each game on the afternoon slate this Sunday.
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Best NFL Same Game Parlay Bets (Week 9)
Rams @ Packers
- Rams +3 (-105)
- Darrell Henderson Any Time TD (+220)
- Luke Musgrave O28.5 Rec Yards (-110)
With Matthew Stafford unlikely to play on Sunday due to injury, it looks like rookie QB Stetson Bennett may start for the Rams. I don't expect a big game from Bennett, but the Packers have really struggled this year. The Rams can stay competitive either way. Green Bay has lost four straight, including losses to the Raiders and the Broncos. I expect them to struggle to score points, and the Rams to keep things close.
If the Rams get in the red zone, they'll likely take the ball out of Stetson Bennett's hands and feed Darrell Henderson. For a RB who should get goal line looks, I love the +220 price on Henderson Any Time TD. I also like Luke Musgrave to go over 28.5 receiving yards, as the Rams allow the fifth-most receiving yards per game to opposing TEs.
Parlay Odds: +750
Buccaneers @ Texans
- Texans ML (-145)
- C.J. Stroud 250+ Pass Yards (+125)
- Rachaad White U47.5 Rush Yards (-115)
Tampa Bay started the season strong, but they've lost three straight games and have a tough test going to Houston on Sunday. CJ Stroud should cause some problems for the Buccaneers' pass defense, which has allowed 269.4 passing yards per game to opposing QBs – fifth-most in the NFL. I expect Stroud to have a good game through the air – going over 250 passing yards – and lead the Texans to a win.
Rachaad White has struggled this season, averaging just 3.3 yards per carry for the year. White hasn't gone over 47.5 rush yards in any of the Bucs' last three games, and I expect that streak to continue against the Texans. Houston allows 3.4 yards per carry to opposing RBs, the third-best mark in the NFL. I'll take White's rushing under in this parlay to round it out.
Parlay Odds: +430
Commanders @ Patriots
- Patriots ML (-160)
- Mac Jones 2+ Pass TDs (+165)
- DeMario Douglas O41.5 Rec Yards (-115)
While the Patriots' passing game has struggled this year, Washington's defense has been unable to stop opposing passers. The Commanders have allowed the third-most passing yards per game to opposing QBs, and the second-most receiving yards to opposing WRs. Mac Jones isn't playing great, but he has bounced back a bit over the last couple weeks. Over his last two games, he's thrown for 433 yards, 4 TDs, and 1 INT. Against Washington's poor pass defense, I think Mac Jones will play well enough to win the game, and has a good chance to throw a couple TDs.
I also think this is a possible breakout spot for DeMario Douglas. Douglas has seen an uptick in volume over the last two weeks, with 13 total targets over that stretch. Washington is allowing 10.6 yards per target to opposing WRs this season. If Douglas sees his usual 6-7 targets this week, I expect him to go over 41.5 receiving yards.
Parlay Odds: +460
Bears @ Saints
- Saints -6.5 (-160)
- Alvin Kamara Any Time TD (-125)
- Roschon Johnson U2.5 Receptions (-160)
Chicago has been up and down in recent weeks, but they're coming off a 30-13 loss to the LA Chargers last week. Backup QB Tyson Bagent has played alright given the circumstances, but I don't think he'll be able to keep up with a Saints offense that's starting to hit their stride. New Orleans has scored at least 24 points in three of their past four games. This is thanks in large part to Alvin Kamara's return from suspension. Kamara's involvement in the passing and rushing game has been a big boost for the Saints. He's also been a serious red zone threat, seeing 18 carries and 6 targets within the opponent's 20 in the five games he's played this year. I think Kamara has a great chance to get in the end zone, and the Saints have a great chance to cover the 6.5 point alternate spread.
I also think Bears' RB Roschon Johnson will stay under 2.5 receptions on Sunday. Johnson had the first three-catch game of his career last week, but had stayed under this mark in the other four games he's played this year. Johnson was playing the Chargers' last week, who allow the second-most receptions to opposing RBs in the NFL. The Saints have a much better defense against opposing RBs in the passing game, and I think they'll hold Johnson to minimal production.
Parlay Odds: +340
Vikings @ Falcons
- Falcons -3.5 (-110)
- Bijan Robinson U58.5 Rush Yards (-115)
- Van Jefferson 25+ Rec Yards (-130)
Atlanta is 3-1 at home this year, and Taylor Heinicke should give them an instant upgrade at QB. Minnesota comes in with a three-game win streak, but after Kirk Cousins' Achilles injury last week they'll be starting rookie QB Jaren Hall. I expect the Falcons to win this game and to cover the 3.5 point spread, as Minnesota's defense has been spotty this year and Taylor Heinicke should give them a significant edge at QB.
Minnesota's pass defense has struggled a bit this season, but their rush defense has actually been very good. They allow 3.5 yards per carry, a top-five mark in the NFL. Given that Arthur Smith is intent on punishing fantasy football owners, and hasn't given Bijan Robinson more than 14 carries since Week 2, I don't think he'll see enough volume to break 58.5 rush yards. I do like Van Jefferson yardage props, however, as he should see an increased role with Drake London out and Minnesota has struggled to defend opposing WRs this year.
Parlay Odds: +570
Cardinals @ Browns
- Cardinals Team Total U13.5 (-125)
- Jerome Ford O44.5 Rush Yards (-115)
- Browns First Half/Full Time Winner (-250)
I expect this to be a dominating performance from the Browns. They have the best defense in the NFL this year, and Arizona will be starting fifth-round rookie QB Clayton Tune. Tune will be making his first career start, and given the limited supporting cast the Cardinals have around him it could be a rough day. For this reason, I like both the Cardinals' team total under 13.5, and Browns First Half/Full Time. The full game spread of 11.5 points was a bit larger than I felt comfortable adding here.
Arizona allows 4.4 yards per carry to opposing RBs, a bottom-ten mark in the NFL. If the Browns do get up early in this game, Jerome Ford should get plenty of carries. He’ll have a good shot at going over his 44.5 yard rushing prop.
Parlay Odds: +230
Seahawks @ Ravens
- Ravens -6 (-110)
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba U30.5 Rec Yards (-115)
- Gus Edwards Any Time TD (+115)
The Ravens have been playing really well lately, and given the west-to-east body clock game for the Seahawks I think Baltimore will win and cover on Sunday. Seattle has been solid as well, but they were played close last week at home by the Browns with PJ Walker at QB. I expect Baltimore to stay hot. I also think Jaxon Smith-Njigba stays under 30.5 receiving yards on Sunday. He has gone over this mark in each of the last three weeks, but Baltimore allows the fewest yards per catch of any NFL defense. JSN won't see enough targets to go over his yardage total.
I think Gus Edwards is a great bet to get in the end zone this week. Seattle has one of the league's best run defenses, but Edwards has been getting serious red zone volume lately. He has four TDs in his last two games, including a three-TD explosion last week. At plus-money, I love the bet for Edwards to score a TD.
Parlay Odds: +550
Colts @ Panthers
- Colts -2.5 (-110)
- Jonathan Taylor 80+ Rush Yards (+140)
- Michael Pittman 6+ Receptions (-120)
Carolina was able to get their first win of the season last week, but the Colts have been hot on offense and should be able to knock off the Panthers on Sunday. After ramping up for a couple games, Jonathan Taylor looks like he's back to form. Taylor has 170 yards on 30 carries over his last two games. Carolina allows the second-most yards per carry to opposing RBs in the NFL. I think Taylor should see enough work to break 80 yards.
Carolina also allows a reception to opposing WRs on 66.6% of targets. Michael Pittman has been a favorite target of Gardner Minshew this year, seeing double-digit targets in five of eight games this season. Pittman should have no trouble getting to 6+ catches if he sees normal volume this week. A big game from Taylor and Pittman should be enough for the Colts to pick up a win.
Parlay Odds: +535
Cowboys @ Eagles
- Eagles ML (-175)
- Jalen Hurts Any Time TD (-110)
- AJ Brown 100+ Rec Yards (+150)
This is probably the most exciting game on Sunday's main slate. Dallas comes in at 5-2 and Philadelphia comes in at 7-1, making this a pivotal game for the NFC East race. The Cowboys' defense has been good against opposing WRs this year, but I'm still taking AJ Brown props this week. Brown has put up 125 or more yards in his last six games – an NFL record. If he sees target volume like he has over that run, no defense is going to be able to hold him under 100 yards.
I always love playing Jalen Hurts Any Time TD because of his goal line usage with the unstoppable "Brotherly Shove" play. If the Eagles have the ball near the goal line, it's almost a sure bet that Hurts will score a TD. Philadelphia has looked incredible this year, and a combination of a big game from AJ Brown and a TD from Jalen Hurts should be enough for them to pick up a big win at home.
Parlay Odds: +510
Giants @ Raiders
- Raiders ML (-125)
- Davante Adams 7+ Receptions (+100)
- Saquon Barkley 80+ Rush Yards (+100)
From the most exciting game of the slate to possibly the least exciting. This game features the struggling Giants and a Raiders team that just fired its head coach and benched its QB. Aidan O'Connell will get the start for Las Vegas, after playing well in the one other game he started this year. He targeted Davante Adams 13 times in that game, and I expect him to use the superstar WR frequently again on Sunday. I think O'Connell will be good enough to get a win on Sunday, and will feed Davante Adams enough to get Adams to 7+ catches.
Even if the Giants lose, I think Saquon Barkley will be a big part of the game plan. Barkley has been awesome this year, and has gotten at least 21 carries in each of his past three games. Las Vegas allows the third-most rushing yards per game to opposing RBs. Barkley could be in for a big game if he sees his usual volume.
Parlay Odds: +720
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