Ons Jabeur vs. Aryna Sabalenka: 2023 Wimbledon Women’s Semifinal Odds & Picks

So much for the “Big Three” dominating Wimbledon on the Women’s side. Only Aryna Sabalenka remains from the top three players in the world, as No. 1 Iga Swiatek and defending champion Elena Rybakina lost their quarterfinal matches. However, two of the other semifinalists have made Grand Slam finals before, as Marketa Vondrousova finished runner-up at the 2019 French Open, and Ons Jabeur is a two-time Major finalist, including reaching the finals at Wimbledon last year.

Read on for our thoughts and predictions for the 2023 Women’s Wimbledon semifinals.

2023 Women’s Wimbledon Semifinal Picks & Predictions

(odds via DraftKings)

Ons Jabeur vs. Aryna Sabalenka Prediction

Sabalenka comes into this match the fresher of the two players, winning her quarterfinal match 6-2, 6-4 with surprising ease over Madison Keys. She has a lot to play for in this match, as simply reaching the final would assure her of the world No. 1 ranking for the first time in her career. But that sort of tidbit can be equally motivating and debilitating, and we love that Jabeur can draw on experience from last year in this match.

While many players are overwhelmed by Sabalenka’s serve and overall power on her groundstrokes, Jabeur played the perfect opponent in her last match, Elena Rybakina, to prepare for Sabalenka’s style of play. However, Sabalenka did also enter the Keys match ranked in the top five in aces, percentage of first serves won, and service games won, so break point opportunities could be few and far between.

Jabeur has sometimes admitted that her emotions can swing wildly in matches, which often forces her matches against the best opponents to have many peaks and valleys. As such, when Jabeur is at her best, there is arguably no women’s player more confident than her, and her elite slicing and ability to draw Sabalenka to the net are great neutralizers for her power. The best bet here is the Over for number of games Jabeur wins, as winning at least one set (which she has -180 odds to do) should easily cash this Over.

Pick: Jabeur to win Over 11.5 games (-155 on DraftKings)

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