Penn State Nittany Lions vs Arkansas Razorbacks Odds & Game Pick (2022)
The Penn State Nittany Lions and Arkansas Razorbacks will be the first college football game of 2022. Theyâll play in the Outback Bowl at 12 pm ET in an NFL stadium at the Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida.
Arkansas finished the season 8-4 and had the more surprising season between the two. Meanwhile, Penn State went 7-5 and had a bit of an underwhelming season.
Which team will have the edge on Saturday? Here are our picks and predictions for the Penn State Nittany Lions and the Arkansas Razorbacks for January 1.
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Details
- Opening Line: Penn State -4.5, O/U 49.5
- Current Line: Arkansas -1.5, O/U 47.5
- Last meeting: No Previous Matchups
Overview
The Penn State Nittany Lions finished the season 7-5 with a loss to Michigan State. Penn State couldâve won that game but instead lost 30-27 in a devastating fashion. Thatâs kind of how its season has gone. Penn State lost quarterback Sean Clifford for a couple of games and has had to use three different quarterbacks at different times this season.
The offense scored 26.1 points per game while averaging 380.8 yards per game. Quarterback play was a problem as Clifford wasnât nearly as good as expected this season. Sure, Clifford threw for 20 touchdowns and just six interceptions, but he was all over the place this season. Maybe it was due to injury or maybe it wasnât, but Clifford missed a whole lot of easy passes this season.
The run game also wasnât impressive. The Nittany Lions only rushed for 106.4 yards per game. For a team that is known for producing big rushers, Penn State didnât do that this season.
Meanwhile, the defense performed, especially in the secondary. The Nittany Lions allowed just 344 yards per game with only 208.3 yards in the air per game all season. Still, at times, the rushing defense looked like a liability.
Thatâs an area where Arkansas can do damage. The Razorbacks averaged 31.5 points per game on 440.9 yards per game. The rushing game exploded for over 215 yards per game and is capable of dominating a Penn State defense that still gave up 135.7 yards per game on the ground.
Arkansasâ defense isnât necessarily better than Penn Stateâs but theyâre more balanced as a group. Thereâs no single area where Penn State can just flat-out dominate Arkansas.
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Trends
- Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. SEC.
- The under is 5-0 during the Nittany Lions last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Bottom Line
Penn Stateâs defense was terrific this season, but you can ask Alabama if you want. Arkansas isnât an easy team to defend. Arkansas scored 35 points on Alabama earlier this year, losing 42-35. Thereâs just no way Penn State comes close to scoring around the 30 point marker against Arkansas. The offense just doesnât have enough firepower.
So letâs roll with Arkansas -1.5 in this matchup in the Outback Bowl.
Pick: Arkansas -1.5 (-110)
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Jason Radowitz is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Jason, check out his archive and follow him @Jason_Radowitz.