Premier League Matchday 37 Odds, Picks & Prediction (2024)
The Premier League is coming down to the wire, both in terms of who will win the league, as well as who will/will not get relegated. We have only two matchdays remaining, with a couple of make-up contests sprinkled in, and it's going to be an electric close to the season. I plan on having skin in the game all throughout the final two weeks, and below I've listed my three favorite plays for this weekend's action in England.
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Premier League Matchday 37 Preview & Best Bets (2024)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Wolverhampton (+190) vs. Crystal Palace (+145), DRAW (+250) | 2.5 (-135/+110)
There isn't much on the line when Wolverhampton hosts Crystal Palace on Saturday morning, as both sides are snug in the middle of the table. The Wanderers currently possess the 12th spot in the table (46 points), while the Eagles are in 14th (43 points). Kickoff is scheduled for 10:00 a.m. ET from Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton.
When these teams met in London back in September, the match was scoreless at halftime but finished with a bundle of goals as the Eagles emerged with a 3-2 victory. I'll back this red-hot Crystal Palace team, who has won four of its last five matches (4-1-0), to go for the double on Saturday. Since the match is in Wolverhampton, I'll pay the insurance and take the "Draw, No Bet" prop.
While Crystal Palace has been soaring up the table, Wolverhampton has been moving in the wrong direction, winning just one of its last nine matches across all competitions (1-2-6)! These guys are in horrific form right now, and I'll take this opportunity to kick them while they're down. The goals have been tough to come by for Gary O'Neil's men, and I don't see the Wanderers turning things around against the Eagles' defense, which is ranked a respectable ninth overall (57 goals against). Let's ride with Crystal Palace on Saturday morning.
Bet: Crystal Palace To Win, Draw No Bet (-130)
Aston Villa (+320) vs. Liverpool (-140), DRAW (+360) | 3.5 (-120/-105)
The marquee bout of the matchday is a standalone contest on Monday, as Aston Villa squares off against Liverpool. The Villans enter the weekend holding down the fourth spot in the table (67 points), while the visitors essentially have the third spot (78 points) locked up. Kickoff is set for 3:00 p.m. ET from Villa Park in Birmingham.
There's no doubt about it, these are two of the most offensive-minded clubs in the Premier League. The Reds are currently third in scoring (81 goals) and first in xG (81.5), while the Villans are fifth (73 goals) and seventh (59.4), respectively. Jurgen Klopp's bunch have been very profitable to the Over recently, seeing at least four goals in three of their last four matches. Those four matches each averaged a combined 4.0 goals per contest.
As for Aston Villa, they've been one of the better home teams this campaign, going 12-3-3 in Birmingham. Their offense blooms at Villa Park, where they've racked up 45 goals over 18 matches (2.5 GPG). Liverpool won 3-0 at Anfield back in September, but look for Aston Villa to increase its offensive production as they return home. Let's not overthink this one, let's take the over as these two skilled offenses square off.
Bet: Over 3.5 Total Goals (-120)
Tottenham (+500) vs. Manchester City (-240), DRAW (+425) | 2.5 (-130/+100)
This top-of-the-table match isn't technically from Matchday 37, but I'd like to talk about it since it's a pivotal contest (… and I also really like Manchester City to secure a multi-goal win on the road). This game kicks off on Tuesday at 3:00 p.m. ET from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London.
As you just saw, the play is Manchester City -1.5 at even money. Pep Guardiola is eyeing his fourth consecutive Premier League title, and as long as they handle Fulham (13th, 44 points) on Saturday morning, a win in London on Tuesday will slingshot them back into first place. City has been on fire in the Premier League, winning six straight matches, covering the 1.5-goal line in each game. They've out-scored the opposition 24-5 over the six-match sample size, which equates to an average of 4.0-0.8 per match. It's safe to say the Citizens are back in their championship form.
One of the key reasons for the blowout victories is simply because of the tiebreaker rules, which state that if two teams are tied in points at the end of 38 matches, then the team with the better goal differential wins the title. Heading into the weekend, Arsenal sits atop the table by a point, but they have an edge over City in goal differential (60 to 54). So, there's clearly an incentive for the champs to be blowing teams out, and this is another great opportunity against a Tottenham side that has lost four straight matches! They've been out-scored 13-4 over the four-game sample, I don't see them turning things around against this high-octane City squad.
Bet: Manchester City -1.5 (+100)