Premier League Matchday 38 Picks & Prediction (2026)
The 2025-26 English Premier League title race is all wrapped up, and it's Arsenal that'll be lifting the trophy on Sunday morning. This is their first league championship since the 2003-04 campaign.
While the top of the league has been decided, we still have meaningful matches all across England on Sunday, where all 20 teams will be in action simultaneously. I've got you covered from a betting angle for Sunday's EPL finale. Let's dive into my top Premier League bets for Matchday 38.
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Premier League Matchday 38 Preview & Best Bets (2026)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
West Ham (-125) vs. Leeds United (+300), DRAW (+310) | O/U 2.5 (-160/+125)
West Ham (9-9-19, 36 points) will be fighting for its Premier League life on Sunday morning, but even if the London-based club wins, it could still be relegated. Their fate is out of their hands with Tottenham having a two-point edge heading into the final day. For Leeds (11-14-12, 47 points), they're comfortably sitting in the middle of the table at 14th. Kick-off is scheduled for 11:00 a.m. ET from London Stadium in London.
West Ham needs a win on Sunday as its first step to avoid relegation, and they're going to have to grind out a low-scoring victory to achieve that. Luckily, they'll welcome in a Leeds club that has been far from overpowering offensively on the road this season. In 18 road games, the visitors have managed only 20 goals.
On the flip side, Leeds' underlying defense appears to be decent. While they'ce conceded 53 total goals (14th-best), they have allowed the sixth-fewest shots on target (143) this year. The Whites have seen their last two games stay under 2.5 goals, and I think they'll have a good chance of limiting this Irons offense that's just 16th in scoring (43 goals) and shots on target (133) in 2025-26.
Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (+125)
Nottingham Forest (+230) vs. Bournemouth (+110), DRAW (+275) | O/U 3.5 (+140/-175)
Thanks to a 4-4-1 run in league play, Nottingham Forest (11-10-16, 43 points) has already secured its position in Premier League play for 2026-27. They'll close out the season at home against Bournemouth (13-17-7, 56 points), who are riding an unbeaten streak of 17 matches (8-9-0). Kick-off is set for 11:00 a.m. ET from The City Ground in Nottingham.
Both of these teams are in such solid form that it makes sense to take a +275 flier on a draw Sunday. Bournemouth is clearly the better club, but I think Nottingham's home-pitch edge could help them compete in this match. They've drawn in seven of their 18 home matches (38.9%), while posting a 4-7-7 mark at The City Ground.
Additionally, this could be a lower-scoring match, which is typically preferred when betting draws. We love 0-0 or 1-1 outcomes. The Tricky Trees have been sound defensively at home, allowing only 22 goals in 18 matches. Meanwhile, the Cherries have surrendered one or fewer goals in three straight outings. Let's sprinkle on the draw with this lofty +275 payout.
Pick: Draw (+275)
Burnley (+140) vs. Wolves (+185), DRAW (+260) | O/U 2.5 (-145/+115)
We have a toilet bowl on our hands Sunday morning. The only ones that will be tuning into this 19th-place vs. 20th-place matchup between Burnley (4-9-24, 21 points) and Wolves (3-10-24, 19 points) are the die-hard fans and the gamblers. Add us to the list of viewers! Kick-off for this battle of relegated squads is scheduled for 11:00 a.m. ET from Turf Moor in Burnley.
These teams played a 3-2 barnburner at Molineux back in October, but that game had a penalty-kick goal and two stoppage time tallies. If we get a standard performance out of these clubs, then there's no reason the under shouldn't be in play. Goals have typically been tough to come by when these squads meet up, with the 3-2 October match being the only one that has produced 3+ goals in the last six head-to-head showdowns.
Wolves have been an absolute joke offensively this season. They've managed only 26 total goals (20th), and to put that in perspective, the next-closest team is Burnley at 37 goals (19th). They're each averaging a goal per game or less. Circling back to the Wolverhampton Wanderers, they've found the back of the net only seven times on the road. There's a good chance they get blanked in this one. 1-0, 2-0, or 1-1 final scores are all within the realm of possibilities here.
Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (+115)