Top 3 MLB Betting Odds & Picks for Saturday, August 6 (2022)
We’re coming off a 2-1 day with yesterday’s picks. That’s kind of how it’s been throughout the season. We’re chipping away at some profit daily. In the MLB, because the season is so long, small wins every day leads to big profit throughout the year.
Let’s keep getting after it! I’ve got three more plays for today’s MLB slate.
(Odds courtesy DraftKings)
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have been red hot recently. This is largely due to the stellar pitching they’ve received in the starting rotation. Ranger Suarez, who will get the start today, has a 2.77 xFIP in the last 30 days.
That’s almost unheard of. Suarez has also struck out 26.2% of batters faced while limiting walks to just 3.3% of batters faced. On top of that, Suarez has earned nearly 60% of ground balls in the last month on the mound. He’s currently locked in.
Meanwhile, the Nationals have a .115 ISO and wOBA of .255 as a projected lineup in the last 30 days against lefties. Without Juan Soto and Josh Bell, this lineup looks bad.
On the other hand, Patrick Corbin will take the mound for the Nationals. Corbin has been better recently but has still allowed 28.6% of line drives in the last 30 days. He’s giving up a ton of power to righties and allowing a high wOBA to both sides of the plate in the last month.
Alec Bohm and JT Realmuto stand out the most against Corbin, a lefty. Take the Phillies on the runline.
Bet: Phillies -1.5 (-125 at DraftKings)
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians
The Houston Astros are getting major production out of newly acquired Trey Mancini. He fits in perfectly with the rest of the Houston bats. There’s so much power in this lineup, and now they’ve added even more at the deadline. Cal Quantrill will get the start for the Guardians and he’s allowed plenty of power to righties in the last 30 days.
Alex Bregman and Trey Mancini have potential against Quantrill, along with Jose Altuve and Yuli Gurriel.
On the flip side, Luis Garcia will take the hill for the Astros. His xFIP is high at 5.16, but that’s mainly due to his high walks. The Guardians are aggressive and rarely walk. That helps Garcia.
Instead, Garcia should be able to add more strikeouts and limit line drives well in this game. He’s struck out 26.6% of batters faced in the last 30 days while also allowing just 10.2% of line drives when balls are batted into play in that same time frame.
Just back the Astros on the moneyline. There’s value despite the juice.
Bet: Astros (-165 at DraftKings)
San Francisco Giants vs. Oakland Athletics
It’ll be left-hander Carlos Rodon on the mound for the Giants tonight. Rodon has a 3.52 xFIP in the last 30 days while striking out 36.2% of batters faced in that time frame. He’s been electric, keeping line drives and walks down during that period.
The Athletics, meanwhile, will have six players in their lineup that have hit a wOBA of .252 or lower against lefties in the last 30 days. Only Chad Pinder and Sean Murphy have shown any kind of consistency against lefties. However, Rodon isn’t just your typical lefty. He’s one of the best lefties in the game.
On the other hand, Adam Oller will get the call for Athletics. The righty has a 5.77 xFIP while striking out under 20% of batters faced.
He rarely gets ground balls and gives up a ton of hard, fly-ball contact to both sides of the plate. The Giants are really used to striking out against righties. However, Oller doesn’t have crazy put-away stuff. If the Giants can put the ball in play, big things will happen. This projected lineup for the Giants doesn’t hit many ground balls and will hit hard fly balls out of the yard.
Take the Giants on the runline here.
Bet: Giants -1.5 (-120 at DraftKings)
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