Top 3 MLB Picks & Predictions: Saturday (6/13)

Our MLB picks columns are still in the black for the season after turning in profits in four of the previous five weeks. Today’s best bets are centered around favorites, with two Moneyline plays and a wager on the under in one of the day’s lowest totals.

Here are the best MLB picks & predictions for Saturday, June 13th.  

Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>

    Saturday’s Best MLB Picks & Predictions

    Odds courtesy of DraftKings SportsbookThis Season: 17-16 (+1.07 units)

    New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

    The Yankees have played 632 games with a healthy Aaron Judge since 2022.

    In those games, they had a .587 winning percentage, averaged five runs and 1.56 home runs per game, and recorded a team .327 on-base percentage (OBP) and .433 slugging rate.

    But in the 83 games without him over that span up to yesterday, New York won 46.2% of its games while averaging four runs and 1.17 home runs per game, with a team .300 OBP and .381 slugging rate.

    I don’t expect much from the Yankees offensively with two of their best healthy bats, Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr., going a combined 3-for-42 in their careers against Kevin Gausman. But I also expect Cam Schlittler to match zeros, as he ranks first in the American League in ERA and fourth among all pitchers (minimum 50 innings) in opponents’ OPS.

    Pick: Under 7.5 Runs (-109)

    Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds

    Cincinnati is 0-4 with a -22 run differential the last four times Rhett Lowder has toed the rubber. In addition, his inability to record more than nine outs in any of his last three starts puts more stress on a Reds bullpen ranked dead-last in the league in xERA and FIP.

    Arizona went 3-9 over a 12-game stretch entering this series, while batting .105 with runners in scoring position. But the Diamondbacks should have plenty of chances to get right with runners on base against Lowder, who has issued 13 walks over his last three appearances, spanning 7.1 innings.

    Meanwhile, Michael Soroka has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his last seven starts, while pitching to a 2.28 ERA over that span. He is on pace to lower his ERA for the fourth consecutive season, while his 5.6% walk rate is a career best.

    Since May 1st, Cincinnati has failed to win three consecutive games, and its 12-24 record since then is the second-worst in the Majors.

    Pick: Diamondbacks Moneyline (-137)

    Atlanta Braves at New York Mets

    Ronald Acuna Jr. is just one player, but his impact on the Braves’ lineup is immense. Without him, and with Atlanta seemingly sending out a starting pitcher destined for regression, I’m taking a flier on the small home favorite despite their big gap in records.

    Over the last five seasons with a healthy Acuna, the Braves are 296-179 (.623), while averaging 5.3 runs per game and collectively slashing .262/.331/.455. Without Acuna in that span (not including yesterday’s series opener), Atlanta was 119-122 (.494), while averaging 4.2 runs per game and slashing .240/.307/.407.

    The Mets are catching a break with Atlanta changing starting pitchers from Bryce Elder to Martin Perez. I also have faith in a bounce-back from Sean Manaea, given his 4.19 xERA compared to his actual 5.02 ERA.

    Pick: Mets Moneyline (-115)


    Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.

    Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app